Loading...

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [5/23/2025]

profile-img
Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Friday's Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox matchup.

Baltimore Orioles-Boston Red Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Fenway Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox this Friday.

The Boston Red Sox will face the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action at Fenway Park on Friday, beginning at 7:10PM ET.

The Red Sox will send Brayan Bello (2-1, 4.02 ERA) to the mound, up against Charlie Morton (0-7, 7.68 ERA) for the Orioles.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Baltimore-Boston game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Red Sox' chance of winning is 54%, while the Orioles' is 46%."

For expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Orioles vs. Red Sox predictions page.

Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASEBALL
Get Dimers Pro

Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Orioles and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Red Sox a 54% chance of beating the Orioles.

According to our model, the Orioles (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 6:28PM, May 22
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Orioles
Win %
46%
54%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Red Sox
Orioles BAL
Win %
46%
54%
See Matchup
Red Sox BOS
Charlie Morton 0-7, 7.68 ERA
Brayan Bello 2-1, 4.02 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds [5/23/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Orioles Red Sox
Run Line +1.5 (-170) -1.5 (+155)
Moneyline +114 -130
Total o9.5 (-110) u9.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Unlock Every Orioles-Red Sox Pick
Get Dimers Pro

Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest predictions featured below.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's MLB game between the Red Sox and Orioles at Fenway Park is scheduled to commence at 7:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Baltimore vs. Boston picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Orioles on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Orioles vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most up-to-date probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

profile-img
Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

Advertiser disclosure

Related Articles

More Articles
How The Dimers Intern Won $2k Using Data
Read Article
World Series Power Rankings see Dodgers Land as Consensus No. 1, Yankees With Value
Read Article
New Bet365 Bonus Code DIMERS: Unlock $1K+ Betting Bonus This July
Read Article

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Why Join Multiple Sportsbooks?
logo Swipe across to view more offers
logo
Exclusive
$1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if you Don't Win!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
MOST POPULAR
Sign up With Code DIMERS to Unlock $150 in Bonus Bets When you Bet $5! Win or Lose!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
HOTTEST
Bet $10 Get $100 in Bonus Bets
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
MOST POPULAR
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets INSTANTLY!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins!
T&C's apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
New Customers Play FREE For Your Share Of Millions
T&C's apply.
How to claim