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Ball State vs. Toledo prediction: Why Toledo is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Ball State vs Toledo predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Toledo will take on Ball State in men's college basketball action at Savage Arena on Saturday, commencing at 12:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Toledo as the most likely winner of the Ball State vs. Toledo game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Ball State vs. Toledo prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Ball State and Toledo 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Toledo a 76% chance of beating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Toledo winning 79-72.
According to our model, Ball State (+8.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 146.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of going over.
Ball State vs. Toledo odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ball State | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-102) | -8.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +340 | -330 |
| Total | o146.5 (-108) | u146.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ball State vs. Toledo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ball State +8.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Ball State | +340 |
| Total | Over 146.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 146.5 total points.
Ball State vs. Toledo game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball game between Toledo and Ball State at Savage Arena is scheduled to begin at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Ball State vs. Toledo
- Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: Savage Arena
Conclusion
We predict Toledo, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Ball State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ball State vs. Toledo insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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