Ball State vs. UMass prediction: Why Massachusetts is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/10/2026]

UMass will take on Ball State in men's college basketball action at William D. Mullins Center on Saturday, commencing at 3:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Massachusetts as the most likely winner of the Ball State vs. UMass game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Ball State vs. UMass prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Ball State and UMass 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Massachusetts an 85% chance of beating Ball State. Our predicted final score has Massachusetts winning 78-67.

According to our model, Massachusetts (-10.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 146.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Ball State vs. UMass odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ball State vs. UMass picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: