May 16, 2026
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/16/2026]
Read Article Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City predictions for MLS Saturday.
Austin and Sporting KC will meet in MLS action at Q2 Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Austin as the most likely winner of the Austin vs. Sporting KC game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Austin and Sporting KC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 64.3% chance of Austin winning, a 16.4% chance for Sporting KC, and a 19.3% chance of a draw.
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Austin | Sporting KC | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -175 | +470 | +350 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Austin | -175 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Austin to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Austin win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AUS 2-1 SKC | 9.8% |
| AUS 2-0 SKC | 9.5% |
| AUS 1-1 SKC | 8.8% |
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Austin and Sporting KC in MLS at Q2 Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Q2 Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Austin has a 64.3% win probability on Saturday, Sporting KC has a 16.4% win probability, and there is a 19.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
