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Austin FC vs. Minnesota United prediction, odds, MLS picks [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Austin FC vs Minnesota United predictions for MLS Saturday.
Austin will face Minnesota in MLS action at Q2 Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Austin as the most likely winner of the Austin vs. Minnesota game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Austin FC vs. Minnesota United prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between Austin and Minnesota 10,000 times as part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 39.6% chance of Austin winning, a 34.3% chance for Minnesota, and a 26.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Austin FC vs. Minnesota United odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Austin | Minnesota | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +135 | +200 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -105 | -115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Austin FC vs. Minnesota United picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota | +200 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -105 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Minnesota to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Austin FC vs. Minnesota United: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AUS 1-1 MIN | 12.4% |
| AUS 1-0 MIN | 9.8% |
| AUS 0-1 MIN | 9% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Austin FC vs. Minnesota United game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Austin and Minnesota in MLS at Q2 Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Austin FC vs. Minnesota United
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Q2 Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Austin has a 39.6% win probability on Saturday, Minnesota has a 34.3% win probability, and there is a 26.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Austin vs. Minnesota insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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