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Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe prediction, odds, La Liga picks [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Atletico Madrid vs Getafe predictions for La Liga Saturday.
Atletico Madrid will take on Getafe in La Liga action at Metropolitano Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 11:15 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Atletico Madrid as the most likely winner of the Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Getafe 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 58.1% chance of Atletico Madrid winning, a 16.3% chance for Getafe, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 62% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atletico Madrid | Getafe | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -150 | +550 | +255 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +148 | -184 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Getafe | +550 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +148 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Getafe to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Atletico Madrid win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATM 1-0 GET | 16.8% |
| ATM 2-0 GET | 12.9% |
| ATM 1-1 GET | 11.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 38.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 61.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga game between Atletico Madrid and Getafe at Metropolitano Stadium is scheduled to commence in the United States at 11:15 AM ET.
- Who: Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 11:15 AM ET/8:15AM PT
- Venue: Metropolitano Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atletico Madrid has a 58.1% win probability on Saturday, Getafe has a 16.3% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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