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Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe at the La Liga on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Getafe
0
1
Mar 14, 3:15PM Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Mar 14, 3:15PM Metropolitano Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
GetafeGET
N. Molina (8')
Soccer ball icon
A. Abqar (55')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
GET
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Getafe: Javier Munoz replaces L. Milla
90'
Yellow Card
N. Molina (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. Satriano (Getafe) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Getafe: D. Rico replaces D. Duarte
77'
Yellow Card
A. Liso (Getafe) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Getafe: A. Liso replaces L. Vazquez
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Getafe: M. Martin replaces M. Arambarri
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Llorente replaces O. Vargas
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces A. Baena
68'
Yellow Card
O. Vargas (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Lookman replaces T. Almada
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Alvarez replaces A. Sorloth
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: G. Simeone replaces M. Pubill
61'
Yellow Card
J. Bordalas Jimenez (Getafe) cautioned
60'
Yellow Card
Z. Romero (Getafe) cautioned
55'
Red Card
A. Abqar (Getafe) sent off with a straight red card
55'
Yellow Card
A. Sorloth (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Getafe: V. Birmancevic replaces Kiko Femenia
8'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by N. Molina
0-1

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Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 11:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Metropolitano Stadium
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -150, Getafe +575, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+150/-169)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 58.1%
  • Getafe: 16.3%
  • Draw: 25.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe, with a probability of 17%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 58.1% probability, while Getafe sits at 16.3%, with the draw at 25.6%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Getafe prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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