Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
0
3
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
H. Rincon (4')
Soccer ball icon
A. Ounahi (77')
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C. Echeverri (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by C. Echeverri, assisted by V. Tsygankov
    0-3
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: A. Moreno replaces J. Roca
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: A. Ruiz replaces A. Ounahi
  4. 82'
    Yellow Card
    A. Berenguer (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Izeta replaces I. Williams
  6. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by A. Ounahi, assisted by C. Echeverri
    0-2
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces O. Sancet
  8. 73'
    Yellow Card
    O. Sancet (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces V. Vanat
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Girona: I. Martin replaces F. Beltran
  11. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces M. Jauregizar
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces R. Navarro
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Areso replaces A. Gorosabel
  14. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Girona by H. Rincon, assisted by V. Tsygankov
    0-1

Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +190, Athletic Bilbao +155, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 35.6%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 37.4%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (12.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Girona vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.4%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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