Alaves vs. Malaga Prediction, Picks and Odds

Alaves vs. Malaga: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

• Teams: Alaves vs. Malaga
• Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

• Moneyline: Alaves -124, Malaga 19¢, draw 27¢
• Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (47¢/55¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

• Alaves: 51.9%
• Malaga: 23.2%
• Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-0 Malaga (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Alaves vs. Malaga? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.9%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-0 Malaga.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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