Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Prediction, Odds, La Liga Picks [3/16/2025]

Atletico Madrid and Barcelona will lock horns in La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Barcelona as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Atletico Madrid-Barcelona game," said Ryan Leaver from Dimers.

"Incorporating the most recent updates along with numerous other variables, our prediction gives Atletico Madrid a 33.3% chance of winning, Barcelona a 42.0% chance, and a 24.8% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona predictions page.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 33.3% chance of Atletico Madrid winning, a 42.0% chance for Barcelona, and a 24.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.

Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Atletico Madrid	Barcelona	Draw
+215	+120	+260

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-172	+140

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best La Liga picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ATM 1-1 FCB	11.6%
ATM 1-2 FCB	8.9%
ATM 0-1 FCB	8.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.9% chance that both teams scoring, and a 42.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's La Liga game between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona at Riyadh Air Metropolitano is scheduled to begin in the United States at 4:00PM ET.

• Who: Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona
• Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
• Time: 4:00PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid picks, be sure to check out the latest La Liga predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atletico Madrid has a 33.3% win probability on Sunday, Barcelona has a 42.0% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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