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Hawks vs. Spurs prediction: Atlanta favored to win Thursday's NBA game [11/20/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Thursday.
The San Antonio Spurs will face the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action at Frost Bank Center on Thursday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Spurs game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature players like De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell and Keldon Johnson, while the Hawks will look to Jalen Johnson, Kristaps Porzingis and Nickeil Alexander-Walker.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Thursday's clash between the Hawks and Spurs.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Hawks a 55% chance of defeating the Spurs. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 117-115.
According to our model, the Spurs (-1.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 233.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Spurs odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-120) | -1.5 (+105) |
| Moneyline | -102 | -106 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Spurs picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs -1.5 | +105 |
| Moneyline | Spurs | -106 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Spurs -1.5 at the spread.
Hawks vs. Spurs player props
Looking for Atlanta vs. San Antonio NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 21 points, 10 rebounds and 6 assists, while De'Aaron Fox is projected to have 23 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Spurs.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 49 |
| K. Porzingis | 17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 31 |
| Dyson Daniels | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 37 |
Spurs prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 23 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 45 |
| Devin Vassell | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| Keldon Johnson | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
| Harrison Barnes | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| J. Champagnie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
Hawks vs. Spurs game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Spurs and Hawks at Frost Bank Center is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Thursday, November 20, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs on Thursday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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