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Hawks vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [1/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Wednesday.
The Memphis Grizzlies will take on the Atlanta Hawks in NBA action at FedExForum on Wednesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson and Cedric Coward, while the Hawks will rely on Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA game between the Hawks and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Grizzlies a 56% chance of defeating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 119-118.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (-1.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 239.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Grizzlies odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-105) | -1.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -120 |
| Total | o239.5 (-110) | u239.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies -1.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | -120 |
| Total | Under 239.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Under 239.5 total points.
Hawks vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Atlanta vs. Memphis game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 23 points, 11 rebounds and 9 assists, while Ja Morant is projected to have 22 points, 4 rebounds and 8 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 23 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 57 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| CJ McCollum | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 29 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 15 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 38 |
| Dyson Daniels | 12 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 35 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant | 22 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 43 |
| Jaren Jackson | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Cedric Coward | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
| Jock Landale | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Jaylen Wells | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
Hawks vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Grizzlies and Hawks at FedExForum is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Grizzlies, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Wednesday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 57 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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