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Hawks vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hawks vs. Grizzlies NBA game on January 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
124
122
Jan 22, 1AM FedExForum
Jan 22, 1AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 31 | 31 | 62 | 0 | 124 |
Grizzlies | 32 | 23 | 66 | 1 | 122 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
52%
48%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hawks | 31 | 31 | 62 | 0 | 124 |
Grizzlies | 32 | 23 | 66 | 1 | 122 |
Q4 00:07 Jalen Johnson misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:46 Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:02 Jock Landale makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:30 Ja Morant misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:40 Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:20 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:25 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:53 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:00 Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:07 Jock Landale makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Jalen Johnson misses two point stepback jump shot
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Christian Koloko personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Jalen Johnson shooting foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Luke Kennard, Christian Koloko)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
124-122
+2
Jock Landale makes two point jump shot
124-121
Onyeka Okongwu personal foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko)
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses two point jump shot
Onyeka Okongwu personal foul (Jock Landale draws the foul)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Hawks 60 second timeout
Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-122
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
John Konchar defensive rebound
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
124-122
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Ja Morant)
Luke Kennard personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Luke Kennard)
+2
Jock Landale makes two point jump shot
108-105
Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson, Luke Kennard, Christian Koloko)
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running finger roll layup (Jock Landale assists)
102-103
Jalen Johnson misses two point floating jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Vit Krejci technical foul
+1
Cam Spencer makes technical free throw 1 of 1
124-121
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Vince Williams Jr.)
Hawks personal foul
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
124-121
Ja Morant shooting foul (Vit Krejci draws the foul)
+1
Vit Krejci makes regular free throw 2 of 3
105-103
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
Vit Krejci makes regular free throw 3 of 3
124-121
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Vince Williams Jr., John Konchar, Cedric Coward)
Christian Koloko defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses two point driving layup
Ja Morant personal foul (Luke Kennard draws the foul)
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-105
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-121
Hawks misses two point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Luke Kennard misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
124-121
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson, Luke Kennard, Christian Koloko)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul
End of 3rd Quarter.
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Ja Morant, John Konchar, Cedric Coward)
Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, Mouhamed Gueye, Luke Kennard)
Grizzlies personal foul
Mouhamed Gueye misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes technical free throw 1 of 1
124-121
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks personal foul
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-112
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-112
Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
93-93
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+1
Onyeka Okongwu makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-112
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Vince Williams Jr.)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-112
Luke Kennard personal foul
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-112
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
83-86
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
97-99
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
93-93
+2
GG Jackson makes two point jump shot
77-82
+3
Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot (GG Jackson assists)
93-93
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Dyson Daniels misses two point jump shot
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Cam Spencer misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
77-77
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
77-77
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Mouhamed Gueye, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Luke Kennard)
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
77-77
Grizzlies turnover
Cam Spencer misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Dyson Daniels, Mouhamed Gueye, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Ja Morant misses three point pullup jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
93-93
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Ja Morant shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-64
Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
Hawks turnover
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Jalen Johnson personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
John Konchar defensive rebound
Corey Kispert misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson)
+2
Ja Morant makes two point jump shot
62-55
Jock Landale defensive rebound
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-55
+2
Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
62-55
+2
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point running pullup jump shot
62-55
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+1
Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-55
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Jock Landale, Ja Morant, John Konchar, Cedric Coward)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
62-55
+3
Onyeka Okongwu makes three point jump shot (Dyson Daniels assists)
60-55
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Dyson Daniels blocks Cedric Coward's two point driving floating jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Hawks offensive rebound
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Vince Williams Jr. misses three point jump shot
Dyson Daniels misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Dyson Daniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-49
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Christian Koloko)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
53-49
Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Vince Williams Jr.)
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
50-47
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
51-47
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
48-47
Hawks personal foul
Grizzlies personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Luke Kennard, Christian Koloko)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
45-43
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks personal foul
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-42
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-43
Ja Morant offensive rebound
Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Mouhamed Gueye, Vit Krejci, Jalen Johnson, Luke Kennard)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
41-41
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Luke Kennard offensive rebound
Vit Krejci offensive rebound
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
39-38
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Jock Landale, Ja Morant, Cedric Coward)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-36
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jock Landale, Ja Morant, Cedric Coward)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
37-34
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Hawks defensive rebound
Hawks turnover
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
34-34
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
34-32
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Jaren Jackson Jr., Ja Morant, John Konchar, Cedric Coward)
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Grizzlies turnover
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
31-27
Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
28-27
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
25-25
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
23-25
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
21-22
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Vince Williams Jr.)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
21-19
Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Mouhamed Gueye, CJ McCollum, Jalen Johnson, Luke Kennard)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot (Jock Landale assists)
15-19
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Vince Williams Jr., Jaylen Wells)
+1
Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
12-14
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cam Spencer offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Corey Kispert defensive rebound
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-13
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Ja Morant, John Konchar, Jaylen Wells)
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Jock Landale, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
+3
Onyeka Okongwu makes three point jump shot
6-12
Grizzlies turnover
Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
Hawks 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
Nickeil Alexander-Walker offensive rebound
+3
Cedric Coward makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
0-7
John Konchar blocks Jalen Johnson's two point driving layup
Hawks defensive rebound
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Jaylen Wells misses two point bank jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
John Konchar makes two point running finger roll layup
0-4
+2
Jaylen Wells makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
0-2
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point jump shot
Hawks lineup change (Corey Kispert, Onyeka Okongwu, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 3 | C. McCollum | 15 | 0 | 6 |
| G | 7 | N. Alexander-Walker | 11 | 2 | 4 |
| C | 35 | C. Koloko | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 1 | J. Johnson | 32 | 15 | 8 |
| G | 4 | L. Kennard | 18 | 4 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 23 | C. Coward | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| F | 0 | J. Wells | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 3 | K. Caldwell-Pope | 9 | 5 | 3 |
| G | 12 | J. Morant | 23 | 2 | 12 |
| F | 8 | J. Jackson Jr. | 17 | 6 | 2 |
Game Prediction Article
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Hawks vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Hawks vs. Grizzlies
- Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Grizzlies favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 241
- Moneyline Odds: Hawks +105, Grizzlies -118
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Hawks: 45%
- Grizzlies: 55%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hawks 118-119 Grizzlies.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hawks a win probability of 45%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Grizzlies are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at FedExForum on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Hawks vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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