Hawks vs. Hornets prediction: Why Charlotte is favored to win Wednesday's NBA matchup [2/11/2026]

The Charlotte Hornets and Atlanta Hawks are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Spectrum Center on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Hornets as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Hornets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hornets lineup will feature players like Brandon Miller, Kon Knueppel and LaMelo Ball, while the Hawks will be led by Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Hawks vs. Hornets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA game between the Hawks and Hornets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Hornets a 57% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Hornets winning 118-116.

According to our model, the Hawks (+2) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 235.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.

Hawks vs. Hornets odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Hawks	Hornets
Spread	+2 (-108)	-2 (-112)
Moneyline	+110	-130
Total	o235.5 (-108)	u235.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Hawks vs. Hornets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Hawks +2	-108
Moneyline	Hornets	-130
Total	Under 235.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Hawks +2 at the spread.

Hawks vs. Hornets player props

NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Wednesday's Hawks vs. Hornets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Spectrum Center.

Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 23 points, 10 rebounds and 8 assists, while Brandon Miller is projected to have 26 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Hornets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Hawks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Jalen Johnson	23	10	8	2	55
N. Alexander-Walker	19	4	4	3	35
CJ McCollum	17	3	4	2	30
Onyeka Okongwu	14	7	3	3	34
Dyson Daniels	11	6	6	0	32

Hornets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hornets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Brandon Miller	26	6	4	4	47
Kon Knueppel	23	6	4	4	43
LaMelo Ball	23	5	9	4	50
Grant Williams	11	5	3	2	26
R. Kalkbrenner	10	7	1	0	25

Hawks vs. Hornets game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Hornets and Hawks at Spectrum Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets
• Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Spectrum Center

Conclusion

We predict the Hornets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Wednesday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 55 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Hornets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.