Falcons vs. Commanders Prediction: Washington Predicted to Win SNF Week 17 [2024]

The Washington Commanders will face the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 17 action at Northwest Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 8:20PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Commanders as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Atlanta-Washington game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Commanders with a win probability of 64%, while the Falcons have 36%."

This updated Falcons vs. Commanders betting preview builds on my early Falcons vs. Commanders prediction that I released at the start of the week.

For expanded analysis of today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Falcons vs. Commanders predictions page.

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Falcons vs. Commanders Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

The NFL Week 17 matchup between the Commanders and Falcons at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:20PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
• Time: 8:20PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Venue: Northwest Stadium
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster
• Merchandise: Buy Commanders and Falcons gear at Fanatics

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of this week's Falcons vs. Commanders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Atlanta vs. Washington picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Falcons and Commanders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Commanders a 64% chance of beating the Falcons in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 25-21.

According to our model, the Commanders (-3.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Along with our Falcons vs. Commanders predictions, we've also here's what else we've got for today’s action:

• NFL Best Bets for Week 17
• NFL Player Props for Week 17
• Touchdown Predictions for Week 17

Falcons vs. Commanders Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Falcons	Commanders
Spread	+3.5 (-110)	-3.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+170	-176
Total	o46.5 (-110)	u46.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Falcons vs. Commanders Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Falcons vs. Commanders matchup is on the over/under.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NFL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Falcons vs. Commanders TD Scorers

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs. Commanders?

According to our model, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is most likely to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Commanders.

Our projections give Robinson a 14.8% chance of scoring the first TD at Northwest Stadium, while the Falcons RB is a 57.4% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player	First TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	14.8%
Drake London	8.7%
Darnell Mooney	6.1%

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Jayden Daniels	12.0%
Terry McLaurin	11.1%
Brian Robinson	11.0%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Atlanta Falcons

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Bijan Robinson	57.4%
Drake London	39.6%
Darnell Mooney	29.0%

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jayden Daniels	48.8%
Terry McLaurin	46.5%
Brian Robinson	46.4%

For a complete analysis of the most likely first and anytime TD scorers this week, see our NFL Week 17 touchdown scorer predictions

Falcons vs Commanders Player Props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Falcons and Commanders. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Falcons-Commanders page now to access every player prop projection.

Falcons vs. Commanders Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Michael Penix is projected to throw for more yards than the Commanders' Jayden Daniels.

Falcons Rushing

Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Michael Penix are projected to be the leading rushers for the Falcons.

Player	Position
Bijan Robinson	RB
Tyler Allgeier	RB
Michael Penix	QB

Commanders Rushing

Brian Robinson, Jayden Daniels and Chris Rodriguez are expected to lead the Commanders in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Brian Robinson	RB
Jayden Daniels	QB
Chris Rodriguez	RB

Falcons Receiving

Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Ray-Ray McCloud, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson are projected to top the receiving yards for the Falcons.

Player	Position
Drake London	WR
Darnell Mooney	WR
Ray-Ray McCloud	WR
Kyle Pitts	TE
Bijan Robinson	RB

Commanders Receiving

Terry McLaurin, Zach Ertz, Olamide Zaccheaus, Jamison Crowder and Brian Robinson are projected to lead the Commanders in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Terry McLaurin	WR
Zach Ertz	TE
Olamide Zaccheaus	WR
Jamison Crowder	WR
Brian Robinson	RB

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Falcons in Week 17 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Falcons vs. Commanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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