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Read Article Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia predictions for La Liga Sunday.
La Liga action continues on Sunday at 10:15 AM ET as Valencia takes on Athletic Bilbao at .
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Athletic Bilbao as the most likely winner of the Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 54.2% chance of Athletic Bilbao winning, a 20.6% chance for Valencia, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Athletic Bilbao | Valencia | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -150 | +470 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +100 | -140 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Valencia | +470 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -140 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Valencia to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Athletic Bilbao win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ATB 1-0 VAL | 13.6% |
| ATB 1-1 VAL | 11.8% |
| ATB 2-0 VAL | 10.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 53.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga action between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:15 AM ET.
- Who: Athletic Bilbao vs. Valencia
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Athletic Bilbao has a 54.2% win probability on Sunday, Valencia has a 20.6% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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