Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/17/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 43.9% chance of Athletic Bilbao winning, a 29.0% chance for Celta Vigo, and a 27.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Athletic Bilbao	Celta Vigo	Draw
+125	+260	+230

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+105	-145

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Celta Vigo	+260
Total Goals	Under 2.5	-145

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Celta Vigo to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ATB 1-1 CLV	12.8%
ATB 1-0 CLV	12.1%
ATB 0-1 CLV	9.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's La Liga matchup between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo is scheduled to begin in the United States at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo
• Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT

World Cup 2026 watch: Luca de la Torre (USA)

Celta Vigo midfielder Luca de la Torre is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans at the moment as excitement grows as we approach the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup predictions and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Torre's form will be monitored closely.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Athletic Bilbao has a 43.9% win probability on Sunday, Celta Vigo has a 29.0% win probability, and there is a 27.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.