Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/17/2026]

Athletic Bilbao will take on Celta Vigo in La Liga action on Sunday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Athletic Bilbao as the most likely winner of the Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 42.3% chance of Athletic Bilbao winning, a 30.4% chance for Celta Vigo, and a 27.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Athletic Bilbao	Celta Vigo	Draw
+115	+265	+225

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+110	-160

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Celta Vigo	+265
Total Goals	Over 2.5	+110

According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Celta Vigo to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ATB 1-1 CLV	12.9%
ATB 1-0 CLV	11.9%
ATB 0-1 CLV	9.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's La Liga game between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo is scheduled to commence in the USA at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo
• Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT

World Cup 2026 watch: Luca de la Torre (USA)

Celta Vigo midfielder Luca de la Torre is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans this year as excitement builds ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup predictions and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Torre's La Liga form will be watched closely.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Athletic Bilbao has a 42.3% win probability on Sunday, Celta Vigo has a 30.4% win probability, and there is a 27.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.