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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State prediction: Why Arkansas is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Arkansas vs Mississippi State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Mississippi State and Arkansas will meet in men's college basketball action at Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday, starting at 12:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Arkansas as the most likely winner of the Arkansas vs. Mississippi State game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Arkansas and Mississippi State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Arkansas a 67% chance of defeating Mississippi State. Our predicted final score has Arkansas winning 83-78.
According to our model, Mississippi State (+6.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Arkansas | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-105) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -270 | +240 |
| Total | o162.5 (-115) | u162.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mississippi State +6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Mississippi State | +240 |
| Total | Under 162.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mississippi State +6.5 at the spread.
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Mississippi State and Arkansas at Humphrey Coliseum is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Arkansas vs. Mississippi State
- Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict Arkansas, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat Mississippi State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas vs. Mississippi State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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