Arkansas State vs. Texas State prediction: Why Arkansas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/17/2025]

Texas State and Arkansas State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Wednesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Arkansas State as the most likely winner of the Arkansas State vs. Texas State game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas State vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Arkansas State and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Arkansas State a 64% chance of defeating Texas State. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 78-74.

According to our model, Texas State (+4.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 151.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Arkansas State vs. Texas State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas State vs. Texas State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas State +4.5 at the spread.

Arkansas State vs. Texas State game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball action between Texas State and Arkansas State at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Arkansas State vs. Texas State
• Date: Wednesday, December 17, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center

Conclusion

We predict Arkansas State, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Texas State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas State vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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