Arkansas State vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Missouri State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/11/2025]

Missouri State will square off with Arkansas State in men's college basketball action at Great Southern Bank Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Missouri State as the most likely winner of the Arkansas State vs. Missouri State game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas State vs. Missouri State prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball game between Arkansas State and Missouri State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Missouri State a 55% chance of beating Arkansas State. Our predicted final score has Missouri State winning 75-73.

According to our model, Arkansas State (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 151.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Arkansas State vs. Missouri State odds

We have researched the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas State vs. Missouri State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas State +1.5 at the spread.

Arkansas State vs. Missouri State game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's men's college basketball game between Missouri State and Arkansas State at Great Southern Bank Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Arkansas State vs. Missouri State
• Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Great Southern Bank Arena

Conclusion

We predict Missouri State, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas State on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas State vs. Missouri State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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