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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette prediction: Arkansas State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Arkansas State vs Louisiana-Lafayette predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Louisiana-Lafayette will face Arkansas State in men's college basketball action at Cajundome on Thursday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Arkansas State as the most likely winner of the Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Arkansas State and Louisiana-Lafayette 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Arkansas State a 79% chance of defeating Louisiana-Lafayette. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 75-67.
According to our model, Arkansas State (-4.5) has a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 144.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Arkansas State | Louisiana-Lafayette |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-106) | +4.5 (-125) |
| Moneyline | -188 | +290 |
| Total | o144.5 (-110) | u144.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas State -4.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Arkansas State | -188 |
| Total | Under 144.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Louisiana-Lafayette and Arkansas State at Cajundome is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
- Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Cajundome
Conclusion
We predict Arkansas State, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Louisiana-Lafayette on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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