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Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Western Illinois prediction: Why Arkansas-Little Rock is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/12/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Arkansas-Little Rock vs Western Illinois predictions for college basketball Thursday.

Arkansas-Little Rock-Western Illinois Predictions and Game Preview.
Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Western Illinois men's college basketball prediction for Thursday, February 12, 2026.

Western Illinois will face the favored Arkansas-Little Rock in men's college basketball action at LeRoy A. Ufkes Court at Western Hall on Thursday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Arkansas-Little Rock as the most likely winner of the Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Western Illinois game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Western Illinois prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Arkansas-Little Rock and Western Illinois 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Arkansas-Little Rock a 76% chance of beating Western Illinois. Our predicted final score has Arkansas-Little Rock winning 75-68.

According to our model, Western Illinois (+7.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 142.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Western Illinois odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Arkansas-Little Rock Western Illinois
Spread -7.5 (-110) +7.5 (-108)
Moneyline -325 +280
Total o142.5 (-105) u142.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Western Illinois picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Western Illinois +7.5 -108
Moneyline Arkansas-Little Rock -325
Total Over 142.5 -105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 142.5 total points.

 

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Western Illinois game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between Western Illinois and Arkansas-Little Rock at LeRoy A. Ufkes Court at Western Hall is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

  • Who: Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Western Illinois
  • Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
  • Venue: LeRoy A. Ufkes Court at Western Hall

Conclusion

We predict Arkansas-Little Rock, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Western Illinois on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Western Illinois insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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