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Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Arkansas-Little Rock vs Texas State predictions for college basketball Friday.
Texas State and Arkansas-Little Rock will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Friday, starting at 8:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Texas State as the most likely winner of the Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Texas State game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA basketball matchup between Arkansas-Little Rock and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Texas State a 75% chance of beating Arkansas-Little Rock. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 71-65.
According to our model, Texas State (-6.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 132.5 points has a 56% chance of going over.
Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Texas State odds
We have researched the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Arkansas-Little Rock | Texas State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-114) | -6.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +210 | -250 |
| Total | o132.5 (-105) | u132.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Texas State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas State -6.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Texas State | -250 |
| Total | Over 132.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 132.5 total points.
Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Texas State game-day updates and essential details
Friday's men's college basketball action between Texas State and Arkansas-Little Rock at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Texas State
- Date: Friday, November 21, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
Conclusion
We predict Texas State, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas-Little Rock on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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