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Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Prediction: Philadelphia Predicted to Win Sunday's MLB Matchup [5/4/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks-Philadelphia Phillies Predictions and Game Preview.
Citizens Bank Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies this Sunday.

MLB action continues on Sunday at 2:05PM ET as the Arizona Diamondbacks square off with the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies will start Ranger Suárez (0-0, 0.00 ERA), while the Diamondbacks have opted for Eduardo Rodriguez (1-3, 6.06 ERA).

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Arizona-Philadelphia game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Phillies with a win probability of 54%, while the Diamondbacks have 46%."

For a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Diamondbacks vs. Phillies predictions page.

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Diamondbacks and Phillies 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 54% chance of defeating the Diamondbacks.

According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 6:27PM, May 4
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
D-Backs
Win %
45%
55%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Phillies
D-Backs ARI
Win %
45%
55%
See Matchup
Phillies PHI
Eduardo Rodriguez 1-3, 6.06 ERA
Starter not available 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds [5/4/2025]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Diamondbacks Phillies
Run Line +1.5 (-160) -1.5 (+140)
Moneyline +135 -160
Total o8.5 (-125) u8.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB action between the Phillies and Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 2:05PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Diamondbacks vs. Phillies matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Arizona vs. Philadelphia picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Phillies, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Diamondbacks on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Diamondbacks vs. Phillies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest predictions for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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