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Cardinals vs. Bengals prediction: Why Cincinnati is favored to win in NFL Week 17 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Cincinnati Bengals will take on the Arizona Cardinals in NFL Week 17 action at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Bengals as the most likely winner of the Cardinals vs. Bengals game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Cardinals vs. Bengals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Cardinals-Bengals predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Cardinals and Bengals 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Bengals a 72% chance of defeating the Cardinals in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Bengals winning 30-23.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Cardinals and Bengals each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 53.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 17 straight up picks.
Cardinals vs. Bengals odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cardinals | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7 (-110) | -7 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +280 | -320 |
| Total | o53.5 (-110) | u53.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cardinals vs. Bengals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals -7 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | +280 |
| Total | Under 53.5 | -108 |
According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Cardinals to win.
Cardinals vs. Bengals TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Cardinals vs. Bengals?
According to our model, Chase Brown is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Cardinals vs. Bengals.
Our projections give Brown a 51.9% chance of scoring a TD at Paycor Stadium, while the running back is an 11.0% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Trey McBride (TE) | 42.6% |
| Michael Carter (RB) | 32.7% |
| Michael Wilson (WR) | 32.1% |
| Marvin Harrison (WR) | 27.6% |
| Emari Demercado (RB) | 17.8% |
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown (RB) | 51.9% |
| Ja'Marr Chase (WR) | 51.0% |
| Tee Higgins (WR) | 47.4% |
| Samaje Perine (RB) | 32.6% |
| Mike Gesicki (TE) | 21.7% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Arizona Cardinals
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Trey McBride (TE) | 9.2% |
| Michael Carter (RB) | 6.6% |
| Michael Wilson (WR) | 6.5% |
| Marvin Harrison (WR) | 5.4% |
| Emari Demercado (RB) | 3.3% |
Cincinnati Bengals
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown (RB) | 11.0% |
| Ja'Marr Chase (WR) | 10.7% |
| Tee Higgins (WR) | 9.6% |
| Samaje Perine (RB) | 5.9% |
| Mike Gesicki (TE) | 3.7% |
Cardinals vs Bengals player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cardinals and Bengals. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 17 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cardinals' Jacoby Brissett is projected to have a big game with 264 passing yards, while the Bengals' Joe Burrow is expected to throw for a whopping 275 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett (ARI) | 264 |
| Joe Burrow (CIN) | 275 |
Cardinals rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Michael Carter | 50 |
| Emari Demercado | 21 |
| Corey Kiner | 19 |
Bengals rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Chase Brown | 61 |
| Samaje Perine | 39 |
| Joe Burrow | 8 |
Cardinals receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Trey McBride | 77 |
| Michael Wilson | 55 |
| Marvin Harrison | 43 |
| Elijah Higgins | 24 |
| Michael Carter | 20 |
Bengals receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | 90 |
| Tee Higgins | 64 |
| Mike Gesicki | 30 |
| Chase Brown | 26 |
| Andrei Iosivas | 21 |
Cardinals vs. Bengals game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 17 matchup between the Bengals and Cardinals at Paycor Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Arizona Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Paycor Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Bengals, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Week 17 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cardinals vs. Bengals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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