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App State vs. Southern Miss prediction: Appalachian State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get App State vs Southern Miss predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Thursday at 8:00 PM ET as App State takes on Southern Miss in men's college basketball action at Reed Green Coliseum.
The championship matchup pairs two 14–3 teams coming off sharply contrasting conference title games, with New England advancing through a low-scoring, snow-filled AFC Championship win over Denver and Seattle earning its place after a 31–27 NFC Championship thriller against the Rams.
The clash also spotlights two offensive focal points, with Drake Maye guiding New England through a composed, run-focused AFC title performance and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as Seattle’s primary playmaker following a 153-yard, one-touchdown outing in the NFC Championship.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Appalachian State a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Southern Miss.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's App State vs. Southern Miss matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
App State vs. Southern Miss prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between App State and Southern Miss 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Appalachian State a 54% chance of defeating Southern Miss. Our predicted final score has Appalachian State winning 69-68.
According to our model, Southern Miss (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 134.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.
App State vs. Southern Miss odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | App State | Southern Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -125 | +105 |
| Total | o134.5 (-108) | u134.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
App State vs. Southern Miss picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Southern Miss +1.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Appalachian State | -125 |
| Total | Over 134.5 | -108 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 134.5 total points.
App State vs. Southern Miss game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Southern Miss and App State at Reed Green Coliseum is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Appalachian State vs. Southern Miss
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Reed Green Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict Appalachian State, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Southern Miss on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Appalachian State vs. Southern Miss insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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