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Ducks vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [1/5/2026]

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Written by Nick Slade

Get Anaheim Ducks vs Washington Capitals predictions for NHL Monday.

Anaheim Ducks-Washington Capitals Predictions and Game Preview.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Washington Capitals NHL prediction for Monday, January 5, 2026.

The Washington Capitals and Anaheim Ducks will meet in the NHL at Capital One Arena on Monday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Ducks vs. Capitals game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Ducks vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Ducks and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Capitals a 58% chance of defeating the Ducks.

According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Ducks vs. Capitals odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Ducks Capitals
Puck Line +1.5 (-210) -1.5 (+180)
Moneyline +110 -130
Total o6.5 (-124) u6.5 (+110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Ducks vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Puck Line Capitals -1.5 +180
Moneyline Capitals -130
Total Under 6.5 +110

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

 

Ducks vs. Capitals player props

Who will score a goal in Ducks vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Ducks vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Ovechkin a 39.6% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 7.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Leo Carlsson 26.9%
Beckett Sennecke 25.9%
Chris Kreider 24.4%
Mason McTavish 24.1%
Cutter Gauthier 22.6%

Washington Capitals

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin 39.6%
Aliaksei Protas 33.1%
Dylan Strome 32.7%
Jakob Chychrun 28.1%
Ryan Leonard 26.0%

First goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

Player First Goal Probability
Leo Carlsson 5.5%
Beckett Sennecke 4.9%
Mason McTavish 4.5%
Troy Terry 4.3%
Chris Kreider 4.2%

Washington Capitals

Player First Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin 7.9%
Dylan Strome 6.1%
Aliaksei Protas 5.8%
Jakob Chychrun 5.0%
Ryan Leonard 4.8%

Ducks vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Capitals and Ducks at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ducks vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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