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Ducks vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Ducks vs. Capitals NHL game on January 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
7
Jan 6, 12AM Capital One Arena
Jan 6, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ducks | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Capitals | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ducks | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Capitals | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
P3 19:56 Ian Moore shot blocked by Dylan McIlrath
P3 19:46 Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 19:16 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 19:05 Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:46 Goal scored by John Carlson (Empty Net)
P3 17:41 Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 16:23 Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 15:49 Matt Roy shot blocked by Mason McTavish
P3 15:13 Shot missed by Troy Terry
P3 14:29 Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 13:14 Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:14 Shot missed by Ethen Frank
P3 13:12 Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 12:00 Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 11:28 Shot missed by Alex Killorn
P3 11:00 Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P3 10:44 Chris Kreider shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 10:42 Jacob Trouba shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:11 Shot on goal by Ian Moore saved by Charlie Lindgren
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Ian Moore shot blocked by Dylan McIlrath
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Charlie Lindgren
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Charlie Lindgren
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by John Carlson (Empty Net)
4-6
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Lukas Dostal
Nic Dowd credited with hit on Beckett Sennecke in defensive zone
Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mason McTavish in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Mason McTavish
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Terry
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Lukas Dostal
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Troy Terry in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Ethen Frank
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Charlie Lindgren
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Killorn
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in defensive zone
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
SHOT
Chris Kreider shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Jacob Trouba shot blocked by teammate
Chris Kreider credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ian Moore saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Nesterenko
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Nesterenko
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olen Zellweger saved by Charlie Lindgren
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Beckett Sennecke assisted by Cutter Gauthier and Jackson LaCombe
4-5
SHOT
Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Ethen Frank
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Charlie Lindgren
Giveaway by Radko Gudas in defensive zone
Takeaway by Radko Gudas in neutral zone
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Chris Kreider
SHOT
Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Strome
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olen Zellweger saved by Charlie Lindgren
Takeaway by Alex Killorn in defensive zone
Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Ian Moore in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Charlie Lindgren
Giveaway by Charlie Lindgren in defensive zone
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Lukas Dostal
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Johnston saved by Charlie Lindgren
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
SHOT
Shot missed by Chris Kreider
SHOT
Power play - Mason McTavish shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
Power play - Mason McTavish won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
Ducks replaced goalie. (Lukas Dostal)
End of 2nd Period.
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Johnston
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Alex Killorn in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Matt Roy
SHOT
Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Matt Roy
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Giveaway by Beckett Sennecke in offensive zone
SHOT
Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
Giveaway by Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Jacob Trouba shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Terry saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Olen Zellweger shot blocked by teammate
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olen Zellweger saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Petr Mrazek
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Petr Mrazek
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Petr Mrazek
Giveaway by Jacob Trouba in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason McTavish saved by Charlie Lindgren
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mason McTavish in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Charlie Lindgren
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Leo Carlsson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Leo Carlsson shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Olen Zellweger shot blocked by Dylan Strome
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jacob Trouba
3-5
Giveaway by Leo Carlsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Troy Terry shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Ross Johnston credited with hit on Matt Roy in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Charlie Lindgren
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Killorn assisted by Ross Johnston
2-5
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Nesterenko saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Ian Moore shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Shot missed by Ryan Strome (Penalty Shot)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Strome saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Sonny Milano shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
Ryan Poehling credited with hit on Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Ryan Leonard credited with hit on Olen Zellweger in offensive zone
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
1-5
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Ryan Strome in neutral zone
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Justin Sourdif assisted by Ryan Leonard and Connor McMichael
1-4
Nic Dowd credited with hit on Radko Gudas in offensive zone
SHOT
Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by teammate
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by John Carlson
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
Penalty to Radko Gudas 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Ross Johnston 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Dylan McIlrath)
Penalty to Dylan McIlrath 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Ross Johnston)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Johnston saved by Charlie Lindgren
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Nesterenko saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikael Granlund
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
Nic Dowd credited with hit on Beckett Sennecke in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
Shorthanded - Alex Killorn won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Ian Moore shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
SHOT
Ian Moore shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Petr Mrazek
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Charlie Lindgren
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Mintyukov
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Penalty to Leo Carlsson 2 minutes for Misconduct
Power play - Mason McTavish won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Justin Sourdif assisted by Connor McMichael
1-2
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sonny Milano saved by Petr Mrazek
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Mintyukov
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Justin Sourdif
1-1
Takeaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Connor McMichael credited with hit on Jackson LaCombe in offensive zone
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Shot missed by Ducks
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Petr Mrazek
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mason McTavish in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Matt Roy shot blocked by Beckett Sennecke
Power play - Dylan Strome credited with hit on Jackson LaCombe in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Radko Gudas
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Petr Mrazek
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in offensive zone
Penalty to Alex Killorn 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by John Carlson)
Giveaway by Ross Johnston in offensive zone
Matt Roy credited with hit on Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Jakob Chychrun in defensive zone
Beckett Sennecke credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
SHOT
Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Mintyukov
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Mason McTavish
Takeaway by Mason McTavish in offensive zone
SHOT
Ryan Leonard shot blocked by Radko Gudas
Ryan Strome credited with hit on Connor McMichael in neutral zone
Connor McMichael won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Charlie Lindgren
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
Penalty to Justin Sourdif 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Ethen Frank 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Jacob Trouba 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Brandon Duhaime 2 minutes for Misconduct
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Chris Kreider assisted by Olen Zellweger
1-0
Giveaway by Trevor van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
SHOT
Radko Gudas shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
SHOT
Shot missed by Hendrix Lapierre
SHOT
Shot missed by Sonny Milano
SHOT
Ian Moore shot blocked by Ethen Frank
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Petr Mrazek
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Poehling saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Troy Terry
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Matt Roy credited with hit on Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jackson LaCombe saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Nic Dowd won faceoff against Mason McTavish in defensive zone
Penalty to Alex Ovechkin 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Olen Zellweger)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olen Zellweger saved by Charlie Lindgren
Giveaway by Olen Zellweger in neutral zone
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 45 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 54% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 13 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 7 | Shots Blocked | 22 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 13 |
| |
|---|
| 45 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 54% | |||
| 3/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 13 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 7 | Shots Blocked | 22 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 13 |
Game Prediction Article
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Ducks vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Ducks vs. Capitals
- Date: Monday, January 5, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Ducks +115, Capitals -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Ducks: 42%
- Capitals: 58%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Ducks a win probability of 42%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Ducks in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Ducks vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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