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Alaves vs. Celta Vigo prediction, odds, La Liga picks [11/22/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Alaves vs Celta Vigo predictions for La Liga Saturday.
Alaves and Celta Vigo are scheduled to meet in La Liga at Estadio Mendizorrotza on Saturday, with kickoff at 8:00AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Celta Vigo as the most likely winner of the Alaves vs. Celta Vigo.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Alaves vs. Celta Vigo prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Alaves and Celta Vigo 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 35.6% chance of Alaves winning, a 36.4% chance for Celta Vigo, and a 28.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Alaves vs. Celta Vigo odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Alaves | Celta Vigo | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +165 | +195 | +200 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +132 | -162 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Alaves vs. Celta Vigo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Celta Vigo | +195 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +132 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Celta Vigo to win.
Alaves vs. Celta Vigo: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ALV 1-1 CLV | 13.2% |
| ALV 0-1 CLV | 11.2% |
| ALV 1-0 CLV | 11.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.9% chance of the yes hitting, and a 52.1% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Alaves vs. Celta Vigo game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga matchup between Alaves and Celta Vigo at Estadio Mendizorrotza is scheduled to start in the USA at 8:00AM ET.
- Who: Alaves vs. Celta Vigo
- Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
- Time: 8:00AM ET/5:00AM PT
- Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Alaves has a 35.6% win probability on Saturday, Celta Vigo has a 36.4% win probability, and there is a 28.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Alaves vs. Celta Vigo insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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