Alaves vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on November 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
0
Nov 22, 8:00 AM ET Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Nov 22, 8:00 AM ET Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
I. Aspas (pen.) (55')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces T. Martinez
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. El Abdellaoui replaces B. Zaragoza
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces Jonny Otto
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diaz replaces D. Suarez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces P. Duran
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces I. Aspas
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Aidoo replaces C. Starfelt
68'
Yellow Card
J. Pacheco (Alaves) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces J. Rueda
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces C. Vicente
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces C. Alena
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by I. Aspas (pen.)
1-0
51'
Yellow Card
J. Rueda (Celta Vigo) cautioned
17'
Yellow Card
J. Rodriguez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
5'
Yellow Card
Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +175, Celta Vigo +190, draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+140/-172)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 35.6%
  • Celta Vigo: 36.4%
  • Draw: 28.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Alaves vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 36.4%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Alaves vs. Celta Vigo, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.