Alaves vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on November 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
0
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
I. Aspas (pen.) (55')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces T. Martinez
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. El Abdellaoui replaces B. Zaragoza
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces Jonny Otto
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: M. Diaz replaces D. Suarez
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces P. Duran
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces I. Aspas
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Aidoo replaces C. Starfelt
  8. 68'
    Yellow Card
    J. Pacheco (Alaves) cautioned
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces J. Rueda
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces C. Vicente
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces C. Alena
  12. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Celta Vigo by I. Aspas (pen.)
    1-0
  13. 51'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rueda (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  14. 17'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodriguez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
  15. 5'
    Yellow Card
    Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned

Alaves vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +175, Celta Vigo +190, draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+140/-172)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 35.6%
  • Celta Vigo: 36.4%
  • Draw: 28.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Alaves vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 36.4%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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