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Alaves vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Celta Vigo La Liga game on November 22, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
1
0
Nov 22, 1PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Nov 22, 1PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
I. Aspas (pen.) (55')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RCC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces T. Martinez
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. El Abdellaoui replaces B. Zaragoza
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces Jonny Otto
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diaz replaces D. Suarez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: B. Iglesias replaces P. Duran
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Roman replaces I. Aspas
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Aidoo replaces C. Starfelt
68'
Yellow Card
J. Pacheco (Alaves) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: O. Mingueza replaces J. Rueda
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Ibanez replaces C. Vicente
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces C. Alena
55'
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by I. Aspas (pen.)
1-0
51'
Yellow Card
J. Rueda (Celta Vigo) cautioned
17'
Yellow Card
J. Rodriguez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
5'
Yellow Card
Jonny Otto (Alaves) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Celta Vigo: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves +175, Celta Vigo +190, Draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+140/-172)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 35.6%
  • Celta Vigo: 36.4%
  • Draw: 28.0%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 35.6%, while Celta Vigo has a win probability of 36.4%. The chance of a draw is 28.0%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Celta Vigo predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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