Alabama vs. Mississippi State prediction: Why Alabama is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/13/2026]

Mississippi State will square off with the favored Alabama in men's college basketball action at Humphrey Coliseum on Tuesday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Alabama as the most likely winner of the Alabama vs. Mississippi State game.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Alabama and Mississippi State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Alabama a 60% chance of defeating Mississippi State. Our predicted final score has Alabama winning 83-80.

According to our model, Mississippi State (+4.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 173.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: