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Air Force vs. Fresno State prediction: Fresno State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Air Force vs Fresno State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Fresno State will take on Air Force in men's college basketball action at Save Mart Center on Saturday, commencing at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Fresno State as the most likely winner of the Air Force vs. Fresno State game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Air Force vs. Fresno State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Air Force and Fresno State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Fresno State a 90% chance of beating Air Force. Our predicted final score has Fresno State winning 78-64.
According to our model, Air Force (+14.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 142.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.
Air Force vs. Fresno State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Air Force | Fresno State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14.5 (-105) | -14.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +860 | -1400 |
| Total | o142.5 (-110) | u142.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Air Force vs. Fresno State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Air Force +14.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Air Force | +860 |
| Total | Over 142.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Air Force +14.5 at the spread.
Air Force vs. Fresno State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Fresno State and Air Force at Save Mart Center is scheduled to start at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Air Force vs. Fresno State
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Save Mart Center
Conclusion
We predict Fresno State, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat Air Force on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Air Force vs. Fresno State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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