2021 Farmers Insurance Open: Preview, picks and bets

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January 27, 2021 11:48 PM

The season is starting to really get going, with the Farmers Insurance Open at the famous Torrey Pines this weekend.

A load of the world's top players are heading out to Cali for the weekend, with Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy the highlights of the field.

Data-led probabilities for the winner, Top 5, Top 10 and Top 20.
 

As well as Rahm and Rory, the field also includes Xander Schauffele, Brooks Koepka and Adam Scott so we should be in for a great weekend of golf.

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Looking ahead to our picks for the week now, we’ve once again gone with three outright winner plays, ranging from one of the favorites to a couple of value plays.

 

๐ŸŒ๏ธ‍โ™‚๏ธ Outright winner picks

 

๐Ÿ†  Top Pick:

Xander Schauffele (+1200 or 12/1)

Bet $10, win $120

 

The sixth ranked player in the world, Xander is always right in the mix, be it a major or any other PGA event. 

So far in the 2021 season (so, dating back to the US Open) his results have read: 5th, 2nd, T17, T17, T5, making him our top pick for the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open.

His last win came 24 months ago at the 2019 Sentry TOC, and he will be out to grab multiple wins in 2021!

Check out the highlights from that win here๐Ÿ‘‡

 

 

๐Ÿค‘ PointsBet offer:

Rory McIlroy Top-10

Bet $100, win $125

 

Rory returned last week at the Abu Dhabi Golf Championship, finishing third behind Tyrrell Hatton and Jason Scrivener, despite a lackluster final round of 72.

And now, PointsBet is offering you the chance to bet on him to finish in the Top-10, with the max bet of $100 netting you $125 plus the stake ($225). 

He's finished in the Top-10 a ridiculous 90 times in his career and our model currently has him as a 38.3% chance of getting there again this week.

Sign up to PointsBet with Dimers and receive an extra $100 when you deposit $50!


 

๐Ÿ’ฐ Value Bet:

Adam Scott (+5000 or 50/1)

Bet $10, win $500

 

The 2013 Masters champion has been thereabouts without making a push for a win so far this season with 5/5 made cuts resulting in a highest placed finish of T21 at the Sentry TOC two weeks ago.

Listen to the latest Tail and Print podcast
 

Scott's last win came in February of last year and he was looking like going on a run before the pandemic hit and the TOUR was shut down, resulting in Scott heading back to Australia for a prolonged period even once golf had returned.

Now that he's back on the TOUR and playing regularly, it should only be a matter of time until he wins again.

Check out the highlights from his last victory below ๐Ÿ‘‡

Keen to tail? Check out the best sportsbooks in your state.
 


 

๐Ÿ”ฎ Dark Horse:

Corey Conners (+10000 or 100/1)

Bet $10, win $1000

 

Canadian Corey Conners may not be a household name, but that's part of the reason he's way out at 100/1 odds!

Conners won the Valero Texas Open in 2019 and finished T10 at the Masters last November, showing he can absolutely match it with the best!

As well as the above, this pick comes courtesy of DimersBOT, where he's ranked as the eighth best chance to win despite his long odds!

If you need any more convincing, check out his Valero Texas highlights below ๐Ÿ‘‡

 

2021 dark horse record:

Sungjae Im @ Sentry TOC - T5
Marc Leishman @ Sony Open - T4
Cameron Champ @ AmEx - CUT

As you can see, our first two dark horse picks of 2021 had great tournaments, paying out those that bet them for Top-5 and Top-10!

Ready to join a Sportsbook and start betting online? We’ve listed the best available Welcome Offers for each legal betting state below.

The best offers in your state๐Ÿ‘‡