Yankees vs. Blue Jays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Blue Jays MLB game on Sunday, August 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Ryan Weathers 5-7, 3.70 ERA
4
3
Rogers Centre
Blue Jays
Dylan Cease 7-5, 2.40 ERA
Rogers Centre
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Yankees
0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 4 6 1
Blue Jays
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Blue Jays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brett Bateman grounds out to shallow infield, Tim Hill to Ben Rice.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Rice 1B5112101.2001.000
2 L. García DH3011011.3330.733
3 H. Ramos LF4010010.2500.900
4 T. Grisham CF4000003.0000.000
5 S. Jones RF4000003.0000.000
6 G. Lombard SS3110010.3331.167
7 J. Chisholm 2B10100001.0002.000
8 A. Sánchez C1100000.0000.000
9 J. Caballero 3B2111011.5001.167
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Bateman CF5000002.0000.000
2 J. Smith 3B1100000.0000.000
3 B. Valenzuela C0000000.0000.000
4 G. Springer DH4000000.0000.000
5 E. Clement 2B3001000.0000.000
6 K. Okamoto 1B4210001.2500.750
7 D. Cameron LF4011001.2500.750
8 A. Giménez SS4021001.5001.000
9 N. Lukes RF2000000.0000.000

Yankees vs. Blue Jays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 1:37PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Centre

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Yankees (+1.5, -203), Blue Jays (-1.5, +194)
  • Moneyline: Yankees +113, Blue Jays -115
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (-112/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Yankees: 46.4%
  • Blue Jays: 53.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 46.4%, while the Blue Jays have a win probability of 53.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Blue Jays are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Rogers Centre on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Blue Jays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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