Nationals vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Mets MLB game on Sunday, August 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Nationals
Jake Irvin 2-6, 5.79 ERA
3
4
Citi Field
Mets
Christian Scott 3-3, 3.45 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 5 0
Mets
0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 X 4 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    0%
  • Mets
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Harry Ford strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Abrams SS4000001.0000.000
2 A. Ortiz 1B4111102.2501.250
3 D. Crews RF4000001.0000.000
4 D. Lile LF3100010.0000.250
5 B. House 3B3000001.0000.250
6 J. Vivas 2B3110011.3330.833
7 J. Tena PH1000001.0000.000
8 H. Ford C1000001.0000.000
9 J. Young CF3010001.3330.666
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Ewing CF3000012.0000.250
2 F. Lindor SS3110011.3330.833
3 B. Bichette 3B30300101.0002.667
4 C. Benge RF4000001.0000.000
5 J. Young 1B4121000.5001.250
6 L. Robert LF4010002.2500.500
7 B. Baty 2B4110002.2500.750
8 J. Polanco DH4011001.2500.500
9 L. Torrens C3112100.3331.666

Nationals vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. NY Mets Mets
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 1:40PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Nationals (+1.5, -138), Mets (-1.5, +135)
  • Moneyline: Nationals +150, Mets -153
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-105/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Nationals: 38.1%
  • Mets: 61.9%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 38.1%, while the Mets have a win probability of 61.9%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Citi Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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