Orioles vs. Rays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Rays MLB game on Sunday, August 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
Trevor Rogers 7-8, 4.21 ERA
10
2
Tropicana Field
Rays
Freddy Peralta 5-9, 5.33 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 0 0 0 3 7 0 0 0 10 9 0
Rays
0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    100%
  • Rays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Yandy Díaz pops out to Coby Mayo.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday SS4223010.5001.350
2 C. Franklin DH1000000.0000.000
3 J. Jackson 2B1000000.0000.000
4 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B5013002.2000.600
5 D. Beavers LF5000002.0000.000
6 L. Taveras RF4210011.2500.650
7 C. Cowser CF5122102.4001.400
8 C. Mayo 1B3210010.3330.833
9 Y. Pozo C3110010.3330.833
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH5010001.2000.400
2 J. Aranda 1B4000003.0000.000
3 R. Palacios 2B1000000.0000.000
4 R. Vilade RF4231101.7502.500
5 C. Simpson LF4020000.5001.250
6 J. DeLuca CF4000002.0000.000
7 J. Mateo 3B4011001.2500.500
8 N. Fortes C3010010.3330.833
9 T. Walls SS4010000.2500.500

Orioles vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 12:15PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (+1.5, -163), Rays (-1.5, +160)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +130, Rays -132
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+117/-120)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 42.8%
  • Rays: 57.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 42.8%, while the Rays have a win probability of 57.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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