Red Sox vs. Pirates: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Pirates MLB game on Sunday, August 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Patrick Sandoval 1-1, 3.30 ERA
3
8
PNC Park
Pirates
Lake Bachar 1-2, 3.98 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 1
Pirates
2 0 5 0 0 0 1 0 X 8 11 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Pirates
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Eli White strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Sogard 1B4000003.0000.000
2 C. Rafaela CF4000002.0000.000
3 W. Abreu RF3000011.0000.250
4 A. Rutschman DH3000012.0000.250
5 C. Durbin 3B4010001.2500.500
6 A. Monasterio SS4000001.0000.000
7 E. White PH1000001.0000.000
8 A. Seigler 2B2110010.5001.667
9 C. Wong C3123100.6672.334
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Triolo SS5110000.2000.400
2 E. Valdez RF4220011.5001.600
3 B. Reynolds DH3222010.6671.750
4 B. Lowe 2B4122002.5001.000
5 R. Flores 1B3110012.3330.833
6 J. Mangum LF4110000.2500.500
7 N. Yorke 3B4023001.5001.000
8 B. Cook CF3000011.0000.250
9 H. Davis C3001000.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 1:35PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Red Sox (-1.5, +156), Pirates (+1.5, -156)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox -104, Pirates +104
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+111/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Sox: 46.3%
  • Pirates: 53.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 46.3%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 53.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at PNC Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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