Phillies vs. Twins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Twins MLB game on Sunday, August 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Phillies
Andrew Painter 2-8, 6.27 ERA
7
5
Target Field
Twins
Dean Kremer 2-4, 5.25 ERA
Target Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 4 0 3 0 7 9 0
Twins
4 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Twins
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH4110011.2500.900
2 B. Stott 2B5110000.2000.400
3 B. Harper 1B4210010.2500.650
4 D. Hill CF0100000.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 3B4224101.5001.750
6 B. Marsh LF3000001.0000.250
7 J. Realmuto C4000002.0000.000
8 B. De La Cruz RF2012000.5001.000
9 E. Sosa SS4010002.2501.000
Twins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Jeffers PH1000001.0000.000
2 B. Buxton CF5000003.0000.000
3 J. Bell DH4110001.2500.500
4 K. Clemens LF4221101.5001.750
5 R. Lewis 1B2110020.5001.250
6 B. Lee 3B4114101.2501.250
7 L. Keaschall RF3000002.0000.250
8 V. Caratini C3000010.0000.250
9 K. Culpepper SS3010010.3330.833

Phillies vs. Twins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 2:10PM ET
  • Venue: Target Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +156), Twins (+1.5, -160)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -102, Twins +101
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+111/-110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 49.4%
  • Twins: 50.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 49.4%, while the Twins have a win probability of 50.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Twins are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Target Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Twins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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