Cardinals vs. Cubs: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Cubs MLB game on Sunday, August 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cardinals
Hunter Dobbins 2-3, 3.40 ERA
11
4
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Edward Cabrera 5-4, 5.10 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
2 1 0 6 0 0 0 2 0 11 13 0
Cubs
0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    100%
  • Cubs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Seiya Suzuki grounds out to shortstop, Blaze Jordan to Alec Burleson.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4321010.5001.350
2 I. Herrera DH3111011.3330.733
3 A. Burleson 1B5234101.6002.000
4 J. Walker RF4134100.7502.800
5 E. Pereira LF0000000.0000.000
6 N. Church CF4000010.0000.200
7 M. Winn SS4100011.0000.200
8 J. Crooks C4220011.5001.350
9 B. Jordan 3B5121002.4000.800
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF5112103.2001.000
2 S. Suzuki RF5110003.2000.600
3 A. Bregman 3B3000010.0000.250
4 T. Taylor LF0001000.0000.000
5 N. Hoerner SS3010010.3330.833
6 P. Ramirez 1B4010002.2500.500
7 J. Triantos 2B3100011.0000.250
8 M. Conforto DH3000011.0000.250
9 M. Amaya C3111111.3331.833

Cardinals vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: St. Louis Cardinals vs. CHI Cubs Cubs
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 3:15PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cardinals (+1.5, -125), Cubs (-1.5, +122)
  • Moneyline: Cardinals +167, Cubs -166
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-117/+117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cardinals: 38.3%
  • Cubs: 61.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 38.3%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 61.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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