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Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings NHL game on November 28, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
2
Nov 29, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
Nov 29, 12AM Little Caesars Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Red Wings | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Red Wings | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
P3 20:00 Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Matt Murray
P3 19:53 Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Matt Murray
P3 19:20 Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Matt Murray
P3 19:14 Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Matt Murray
P3 19:04 Moritz Seider shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 18:47 David Perron shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P3 18:26 Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Matt Murray
P3 17:23 Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Justin Holl
P3 16:41 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 15:22 David Perron shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P3 14:56 Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Matt Murray
P3 14:55 Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Matt Murray
P3 14:49 Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by Matt Murray
P3 13:52 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 13:48 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
P3 13:14 Shot on goal by Jonatan Berggren saved by Matt Murray
P3 12:57 Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Matt Murray
P3 12:41 Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Matt Murray
P3 12:41 Goal scored by Adam Erne assisted by Moritz Seider and Ben Chiarot
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Matt Murray
John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
David Perron shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Justin Holl
Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
David Perron shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by Matt Murray
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonatan Berggren saved by Matt Murray
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Matt Murray
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Andrew Copp in defensive zone
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Matt Murray
GOAL
Goal scored by Adam Erne assisted by Moritz Seider and Ben Chiarot
4-2
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
SHOT
Jake Walman shot blocked by Mitch Marner
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Joe Veleno in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Matt Murray
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Red Wings
SHOT
Filip Hronek shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joe Veleno saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Olli Maatta shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Power play - Andrew Copp won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Shorthanded - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oskar Sundqvist saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oskar Sundqvist saved by Matt Murray
Power play - Oskar Sundqvist credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Matt Murray
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Lucas Raymond)
Moritz Seider credited with hit in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Andrew Copp credited with hit on Mitch Marner in neutral zone
SHOT
David Perron shot blocked by Mitch Marner
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Jonatan Berggren in defensive zone
Olli Maatta credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonatan Berggren saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Victor Mete in defensive zone
Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Victor Mete in offensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Oskar Sundqvist in defensive zone
SHOT
Adam Erne shot blocked by Mac Hollowell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Michael Bunting
Takeaway by Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Filip Hronek
John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Matt Murray
Andrew Copp won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Filip Hronek saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonatan Berggren saved by Matt Murray
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Oesterle saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Denis Malgin shot blocked by Jordan Oesterle
David Kampf won faceoff against Pius Suter in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Oskar Sundqvist in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Moritz Seider in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Shorthanded - Adam Erne credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Takeaway by Lucas Raymond in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Penalty to Oskar Sundqvist 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mitch Marner)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dominik Kubalik saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Power play - David Perron shot blocked by Justin Holl
Power play - Giveaway by David Perron in offensive zone
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Maple Leafs 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Denis Malgin)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
Giveaway by Victor Mete in defensive zone
Jordan Oesterle credited with hit on Michael Bunting in defensive zone
Justin Holl credited with hit on Lucas Raymond in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Joe Veleno
Giveaway by Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
SHOT
Jake Walman shot blocked by Victor Mete
Mac Hollowell credited with hit on Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Giveaway by Filip Hronek in defensive zone
Andrew Copp won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Red Wings replaced goalie. (Alex Nedeljkovic)
Stoppage - Video Review
GOAL
Goal scored by Rasmus Sandin assisted by Michael Bunting
4-1
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in offensive zone
Jonatan Berggren credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Michael Rasmussen shot blocked by Mac Hollowell
SHOT
Shot missed by Oskar Sundqvist
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Rasmussen saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot missed by Denis Malgin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominik Kubalik saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ville Husso
John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ville Husso
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Andrew Copp in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Andrew Copp credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Joe Veleno
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Ville Husso
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Joe Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Oesterle saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Moritz Seider saved by Matt Murray
Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Victor Mete in offensive zone
SHOT
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
SHOT
Shot on goal by Red Wings saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominik Kubalik saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominik Kubalik saved by Matt Murray
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Calle Jarnkrok
3-1
John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Ben Chiarot in defensive zone
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Ville Husso
Giveaway by Moritz Seider in defensive zone
Ben Chiarot credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Moritz Seider
Denis Malgin credited with hit on Filip Hronek in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Pius Suter in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonatan Berggren saved by Matt Murray
David Kampf won faceoff against Joe Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oskar Sundqvist saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Jake Walman shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Matt Murray
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Oskar Sundqvist in defensive zone
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Adam Erne in defensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Jake Walman in offensive zone
Giveaway by Jordan Oesterle in defensive zone
SHOT
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
Tyler Bertuzzi credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Joe Veleno credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
SHOT
Jordan Oesterle shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
Joe Veleno won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joe Veleno saved by Matt Murray
Joe Veleno won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Perron saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Chiarot
Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Pius Suter credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Pius Suter credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Oskar Sundqvist in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Matt Murray
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Jordan Oesterle in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Walman
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Ville Husso
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Olli Maatta
John Tavares won faceoff against Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
David Kampf won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Rasmus Sandin and John Tavares
2-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Ville Husso
Shorthanded - Ben Chiarot credited with hit in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to David Perron 2 minutes for High Sticking
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Michael Bunting and Mac Hollowell
1-1
Red Wings credited with hit on Victor Mete in offensive zone
Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Victor Mete in offensive zone
Justin Holl credited with hit on Joe Veleno in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Power play - Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Penalty to Rasmus Sandin 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Joe Veleno)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Matt Murray
Denis Malgin credited with hit on Olli Maatta in offensive zone
Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Adam Erne credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Adam Erne credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Adam Erne credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Michael Rasmussen won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominik Kubalik saved by Matt Murray
GOAL
Goal scored by Moritz Seider assisted by Dylan Larkin and Dominik Kubalik
0-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominik Kubalik saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominik Kubalik saved by Matt Murray
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Pius Suter in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Joe Veleno credited with hit on Victor Mete in offensive zone
Giveaway by Zachary Aston-Reese in offensive zone
Michael Rasmussen credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
John Tavares credited with hit on David Perron in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Copp
Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Lucas Raymond in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 44 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 25 | |||
| 23 | Shots Blocked | 5 | |||
| 7 | Giveaways | 6 |
| |
|---|
| 25 | Shots on Goal | 44 | |||
| 56% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 18 | Hits | 25 | |||
| 23 | Shots Blocked | 5 | |||
| 7 | Giveaways | 6 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings
- Date: Monday, November 28, 2022
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -143, Red Wings +130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 59%
- Red Wings: 41%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 59%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Red Wings in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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