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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on April 20, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Lightning
2
7
Apr 20, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Apr 20, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
0112
Maple Leafs
3317
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
0%
100%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
0112
Maple Leafs
3317
P3 19:32 Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Lafferty saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:10 Power play - Shot missed by Mark Giordano
P3 19:00 Power play - Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 18:56 Power play - Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:10 Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
P3 17:49 Power play - Shot missed by Mark Giordano
P3 16:43 Shot missed by Mark Giordano
P3 16:31 Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:32 Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
P3 15:27 Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
P3 15:26 Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 15:06 Power play - Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by Mitch Marner and Ryan O'Reilly
P3 14:52 Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 14:23 Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 13:23 Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 12:38 Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 12:38 Goal scored by Corey Perry assisted by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare and Pat Maroon
P3 12:24 Maple Leafs shot blocked by Nicholas Paul
P3 12:13 Corey Perry shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 11:41 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Lafferty saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:10
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
P3 19:10
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater
P3 19:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mark Giordano
P3 19:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 18:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:16
Power play - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P3 18:16
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Slashing
P3 18:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
P3 17:53
Power play - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P3 17:53
Penalty to Ian Cole 2 minutes for Closing Hand on the Puck
P3 17:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mark Giordano
P3 17:34
Power play - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P3 17:34
Penalty to Pat Maroon 10 minutes for Misconduct
P3 17:34
Penalty to Pat Maroon 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by William Nylander)
P3 17:14
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P3 16:46
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P3 16:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Giordano
P3 16:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:26
Haydn Fleury credited with hit on Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P3 16:25
Giveaway by Tanner Jeannot in defensive zone
P3 16:21
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Haydn Fleury in offensive zone
P3 16:14
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
P3 16:04
Haydn Fleury credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
P3 16:01
Giveaway by David Kampf in offensive zone
P3 15:59
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
P3 15:32
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P3 15:32
Penalty to Mikhail Sergachev 10 minutes for Misconduct
P3 15:32
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 15:32
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
P3 15:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
P3 15:26
Takeaway by Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P3 15:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 15:19
David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 15:19
Stoppage - Icing
P3 15:06
Sam Lafferty won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P3 15:06
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by Mitch Marner and Ryan O'Reilly
2-7
P3 14:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 14:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:04
Power play - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P3 14:04
Penalty to Nicholas Paul 2 minutes for Delay of Game
P3 14:02
Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P3 13:23
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 13:03
Power play - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P3 13:03
Shorthanded - Justin Holl credited with hit in defensive zone
P3 13:03
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Justin Holl)
P3 13:03
Penalty to Pat Maroon 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 13:03
Penalty to Justin Holl 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Pat Maroon)
P3 13:03
Penalty to Pat Maroon 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 13:03
Penalty to Justin Holl 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Corey Perry)
P3 13:03
Penalty to Corey Perry 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Justin Holl)
P3 13:03
Penalty to Pierre-Edouard Bellemare 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Mark Giordano)
P3 12:44
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 12:44
Stoppage - Icing
P3 12:38
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P3 12:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 12:38
GOAL
Goal scored by Corey Perry assisted by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare and Pat Maroon
2-6
P3 12:29
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 12:24
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by Nicholas Paul
P3 12:13
SHOT
Corey Perry shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 11:57
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Haydn Fleury in offensive zone
P3 11:41
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
P3 11:39
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P3 11:35
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P3 10:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 10:46
Brayden Point won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P3 10:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 10:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 10:42
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P3 10:09
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
P3 10:00
Alex Killorn credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
P3 09:44
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
P3 09:41
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 09:05
David Kampf credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
P3 08:56
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
P3 08:43
David Kampf won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P3 08:43
Shorthanded - Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P3 08:43
Penalty to Tanner Jeannot 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Luke Schenn)
P3 08:43
Penalty to Tanner Jeannot 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 08:43
Penalty to Luke Schenn 5 minutes for Fighting
P3 08:37
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P3 08:29
Takeaway by Haydn Fleury in defensive zone
P3 08:20
David Kampf won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P3 08:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 08:09
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 08:00
Matthew Knies credited with hit in offensive zone
P3 07:54
Giveaway by Ian Cole in defensive zone
P3 07:46
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P3 07:46
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 07:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:22
John Tavares won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P3 07:22
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 07:22
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Nick Perbix
P3 06:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 06:54
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P3 06:47
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 06:46
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P3 06:41
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 06:28
Giveaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 06:26
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
P3 06:09
David Kampf credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in offensive zone
P3 05:41
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Haydn Fleury in offensive zone
P3 05:35
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
P3 05:05
Giveaway by Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
P3 04:35
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
P3 03:58
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P3 03:39
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 03:20
Giveaway by Luke Schenn in defensive zone
P3 03:06
Haydn Fleury credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 02:50
John Tavares won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
P3 02:50
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:45
Ross Colton credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
P3 02:21
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P3 02:21
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:11
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
P3 02:10
Takeaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
P3 02:07
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
P3 01:46
David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 01:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 01:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 01:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Haydn Fleury
P3 01:12
SHOT
Haydn Fleury shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 01:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 00:54
Ryan O'Reilly credited with hit on Haydn Fleury in offensive zone
P3 00:45
Corey Perry credited with hit on Justin Holl in neutral zone
P3 00:25
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 00:13
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P3 00:13
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:09
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
P3 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 20:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 19:53
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
P2 19:43
Ryan O'Reilly credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P2 19:19
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P2 18:43
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P2 18:43
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 18:02
David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 18:02
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
P2 18:02
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by T.J. Brodie
1-6
P2 17:58
Nick Perbix credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 17:26
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in defensive zone
P2 16:22
Luke Schenn credited with hit in defensive zone
P2 15:52
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 15:52
GOAL
Goal scored by Zachary Aston-Reese assisted by David Kampf and Sam Lafferty
1-5
P2 15:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 15:38
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
P2 15:27
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 15:27
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 15:25
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P2 15:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 15:15
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P2 14:52
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 14:52
Stoppage - High Stick
P2 14:43
Justin Holl credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P2 14:31
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
P2 14:27
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P2 14:27
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 14:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 14:06
Justin Holl credited with hit in defensive zone
P2 13:47
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 13:47
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 13:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 13:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 13:27
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P2 13:14
David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 13:14
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares
1-4
P2 13:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:54
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P2 12:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 12:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:48
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P2 12:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:48
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 12:31
Nick Perbix credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
P2 12:17
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P2 11:58
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P2 11:50
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 11:49
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 11:49
Takeaway by Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P2 11:48
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P2 11:47
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Matthew Knies in defensive zone
P2 11:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P2 11:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 11:18
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 11:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 11:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 11:12
Giveaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 11:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pat Maroon saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 10:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Pat Maroon
P2 10:53
Takeaway by Ross Colton in offensive zone
P2 10:40
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
P2 10:36
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
P2 10:29
Haydn Fleury credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P2 10:09
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
P2 09:53
Brayden Point credited with hit in offensive zone
P2 09:41
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 09:27
Brayden Point credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in offensive zone
P2 09:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
P2 08:58
Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P2 08:58
GOAL
Goal scored by Ian Cole assisted by Steven Stamkos and Brayden Point
1-3
P2 08:52
Ian Cole credited with hit on Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P2 08:39
Nick Perbix credited with hit on Justin Holl in defensive zone
P2 08:03
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
P2 07:57
Takeaway by Sam Lafferty in offensive zone
P2 07:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 07:34
Giveaway by Luke Schenn in defensive zone
P2 07:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
P2 07:00
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Ian Cole
P2 06:46
Ryan O'Reilly credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P2 06:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Giordano
P2 06:06
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
P2 05:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 05:38
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 05:23
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 05:21
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P2 05:14
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P2 04:36
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P2 04:27
Haydn Fleury credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 04:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 04:03
Takeaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
P2 03:57
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 03:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 03:28
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
P2 03:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 03:08
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 03:08
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:03
Justin Holl credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 02:54
SHOT
Nick Perbix shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P2 02:48
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 02:48
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 02:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 02:38
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Nick Perbix in defensive zone
P2 02:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 02:27
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
P2 01:55
Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 01:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 01:48
Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 01:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 01:44
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 01:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 01:27
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Luke Schenn in offensive zone
P2 01:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 00:52
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P2 00:43
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P2 00:43
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 00:42
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P2 00:42
SHOT
Ryan O'Reilly shot blocked by Brayden Point
P2 00:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 00:00
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:44
Takeaway by William Nylander in neutral zone
P1 19:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 19:20
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
P1 19:14
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P1 18:56
Haydn Fleury credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
P1 18:42
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Haydn Fleury in offensive zone
P1 18:19
SHOT
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by David Kampf
P1 17:35
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Ian Cole in defensive zone
P1 17:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Perbix
P1 17:28
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P1 17:26
David Kampf credited with hit on Nick Perbix in defensive zone
P1 17:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 15:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P1 15:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 15:39
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 15:08
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P1 15:08
Penalty to Steven Stamkos 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Jake McCabe)
P1 15:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 15:08
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander
0-3
P1 15:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 14:29
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P1 14:29
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout
P1 14:29
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Player Equipment
P1 14:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 14:20
Takeaway by Ian Cole in defensive zone
P1 14:03
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P1 14:03
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:39
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P1 13:39
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
P1 13:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:28
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P1 13:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P1 13:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P1 12:59
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
P1 12:51
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Luke Schenn in neutral zone
P1 12:45
John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 12:45
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by Morgan Rielly
0-2
P1 12:40
John Tavares won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P1 12:40
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 12:40
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Nicholas Paul
P1 12:26
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P1 12:26
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:56
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 11:56
Power play - Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P1 11:56
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 11:52
SHOT
Power play - Ross Colton shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P1 10:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 10:26
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Justin Holl
P1 10:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P1 10:03
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P1 10:03
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout
P1 10:03
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Corey Perry)
P1 10:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 09:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 09:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Luke Schenn
P1 08:53
Haydn Fleury credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
P1 08:43
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in neutral zone
P1 08:29
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
P1 07:45
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 07:45
Stoppage - Offside
P1 07:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ian Cole saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 06:46
John Tavares won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P1 06:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 06:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 06:24
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 06:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 06:24
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by Ross Colton
P1 06:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 05:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 05:18
Power play - Brayden Point credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
P1 05:17
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P1 05:02
SHOT
Power play - Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Justin Holl
P1 04:23
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P1 04:23
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Nicholas Paul)
P1 04:18
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Ross Colton in neutral zone
P1 04:10
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Pat Maroon in offensive zone
P1 03:47
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P1 03:29
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
P1 03:17
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 03:17
Stoppage - Offside
P1 03:02
David Kampf won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
P1 03:02
Penalty to Zach Bogosian 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Mark Giordano)
P1 03:02
Penalty to Mark Giordano 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Zach Bogosian)
P1 03:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 03:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 02:35
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P1 02:35
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 02:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Bogosian saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 02:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Haydn Fleury
P1 02:03
Giveaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 02:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Luke Schenn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 02:02
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
P1 01:54
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit in neutral zone
P1 01:46
Takeaway by Pat Maroon in offensive zone
P1 01:34
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
P1 01:17
Giveaway by Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 00:47
Power play - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 00:47
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Morgan Rielly
0-1
P1 00:40
Penalty to Ian Cole 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mitch Marner)
P1 00:36
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P1 00:07
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 00:07
Stoppage - Offside
P1 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Maple Leafs
22Shots on Goal37
50%Faceoff Win %50%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/2
49Penalty Infraction Mins23
53Hits41
16Shots Blocked17
3Giveaways12
LightningTB
Maple LeafsTOR
22Shots on Goal37
50%Faceoff Win %50%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/2
49Penalty Infraction Mins23
53Hits41
16Shots Blocked17
3Giveaways12

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Thursday, April 20, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +170, Maple Leafs -190

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 43%
  • Maple Leafs: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 43%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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