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Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Islanders NHL game on March 21, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
7
Mar 21, 11:30PM UBS Arena
Mar 21, 11:30PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Islanders | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Islanders | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
P3 19:18 Shot missed by Samuel Bolduc
P3 19:11 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 18:44 Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 18:19 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:05 Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 17:52 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 17:38 John Tavares shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 17:12 Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Sam Lafferty
P3 16:39 Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 16:14 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 16:04 John Tavares shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
P3 16:01 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 13:56 Goal scored by Noah Dobson assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau (Empty Net)
P3 12:29 Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:42 Auston Matthews shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 11:40 Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 11:39 Shot missed by Islanders
P3 11:17 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 11:10 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 10:57 Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Ilya Sorokin
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Giveaway by Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Samuel Bolduc
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Sam Lafferty
David Kampf won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Penalty to Noel Acciari 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Matt Martin)
Penalty to Matt Martin 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Noel Acciari)
David Kampf won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Michael Bunting in defensive zone
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Kyle Palmieri in offensive zone
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in offensive zone
Anders Lee credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Giveaway by Mark Giordano in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Noah Dobson assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau (Empty Net)
2-6
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Ryan Pulock in defensive zone
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Shot missed by Islanders
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Ilya Sorokin
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Ilya Sorokin
John Tavares won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Simon Holmstrom assisted by Anders Lee
2-5
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ilya Samsonov
Erik Gustafsson credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in neutral zone
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mark Giordano
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Takeaway by Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Noel Acciari in neutral zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Noah Dobson
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Samuel Bolduc in defensive zone
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Cal Clutterbuck
2-4
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Gustafsson
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Auston Matthews and Justin Holl
2-3
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Holl
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Giordano
Adam Pelech credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Bobby McMann in offensive zone
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Bobby McMann in offensive zone
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Bobby McMann in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Ilya Samsonov
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Bunting
SHOT
Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Anders Lee
Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Islanders saved by Ilya Samsonov
GOAL
Goal scored by Cal Clutterbuck assisted by Ryan Pulock
1-3
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
David Kampf won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Bolduc saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by Kyle Palmieri in offensive zone
Sam Lafferty won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Romanov saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hudson Fasching saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Giordano
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Takeaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Hudson Fasching
1-2
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Ilya Sorokin
Takeaway by Jake McCabe in neutral zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Ilya Sorokin
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Martin
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Giveaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
Matt Martin credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
Ryan Pulock credited with hit on Noel Acciari in neutral zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Ilya Sorokin
David Kampf won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ilya Sorokin
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Michael Bunting shot blocked by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Shot missed by Islanders
John Tavares won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Power play - Giveaway by Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Ilya Sorokin
Shorthanded - Takeaway by David Kampf in neutral zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Penalty to Sam Lafferty 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Noah Dobson)
Takeaway by Noah Dobson in defensive zone
Simon Holmstrom credited with hit on Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Bolduc saved by Ilya Samsonov
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
David Kampf credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
Matt Martin credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Ilya Samsonov in defensive zone
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Kyle Palmieri in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ilya Sorokin
William Nylander won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Zach Parise assisted by Scott Mayfield and Jean-Gabriel Pageau
1-1
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Penalty to Auston Matthews 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Zach Parise)
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Penalty to Alexander Romanov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mitch Marner)
Ryan Pulock credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Hudson Fasching credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Player Injury
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Brock Nelson in offensive zone
SHOT
Matt Martin shot blocked by Mark Giordano
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Islanders shot blocked by Erik Gustafsson
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Parise
John Tavares won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ilya Samsonov
Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
Anders Lee credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in neutral zone
Hudson Fasching credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Giordano
SHOT
Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Giveaway by Scott Mayfield in defensive zone
Ryan Pulock credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Gustafsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Ilya Sorokin
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Noah Dobson in offensive zone
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Anders Lee
Bo Horvat won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Ilya Sorokin
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ilya Samsonov
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Sam Lafferty assisted by Timothy Liljegren and Bobby McMann
1-0
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Ilya Sorokin
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Anders Lee
John Tavares won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
David Kampf shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
Giveaway by William Nylander in defensive zone
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Justin Holl credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Ilya Sorokin
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in neutral zone
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by Samuel Bolduc
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Kyle Palmieri credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Ilya Sorokin
Ryan Pulock credited with hit on Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Giveaway by Hudson Fasching in offensive zone
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Zach Parise credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Kyle Palmieri in neutral zone
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Erik Gustafsson in offensive zone
Kyle Palmieri credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Adam Pelech credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Sam Lafferty shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Gustafsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Michael Bunting credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in offensive zone
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Kyle Palmieri
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Ilya Sorokin
John Tavares credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Brock Nelson credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 40% | Faceoff Win % | 60% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 9 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 7 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 36 | |||
| 9 | Shots Blocked | 19 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 8 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 40% | Faceoff Win % | 60% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 9 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 7 | |||
| 15 | Hits | 36 | |||
| 9 | Shots Blocked | 19 | |||
| 19 | Giveaways | 8 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
- Date: Tuesday, March 21, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: UBS Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -120, Islanders +100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 52%
- Islanders: 48%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 52%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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