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Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on March 21, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
3
Mar 21, 11PM Bell Centre
Mar 21, 11PM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Canadiens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Canadiens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
P3 18:23 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 17:52 Brayden Point shot blocked by Rafael Harvey-Pinard
P3 16:23 Shot on goal by Alex Belzile saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:23 Shot missed by Alex Belzile
P3 15:22 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 14:54 Goal scored by Pat Maroon assisted by Ross Colton and Corey Perry
P3 13:53 Shot missed by David Savard
P3 13:52 Shot missed by David Savard
P3 13:46 Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 13:07 Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 12:48 Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 12:23 Shot missed by Nicholas Paul
P3 11:42 Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
P3 10:34 Michael Matheson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 09:38 Jonathan Drouin shot blocked by Nick Perbix
P3 07:43 Shot on goal by Rafael Harvey-Pinard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:42 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 06:57 Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 06:23 Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Steven Stamkos
P3 05:00 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sam Montembeault
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater - Player Injury
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Giveaway by Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Rafael Harvey-Pinard
Lightning credited with hit on Josh Anderson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Belzile saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Belzile
Giveaway by Alex Killorn in defensive zone
Alex Belzile won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sam Montembeault
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Pat Maroon assisted by Ross Colton and Corey Perry
2-3
SHOT
Shot missed by David Savard
SHOT
Shot missed by David Savard
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in neutral zone
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Sam Montembeault
Brendan Gallagher credited with hit in defensive zone
Brendan Gallagher credited with hit on Ian Cole in defensive zone
Alex Belzile won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Paul
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Kirby Dach in defensive zone
SHOT
Michael Matheson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
Takeaway by Chris Tierney in neutral zone
Takeaway by Chris Tierney in neutral zone
Victor Hedman credited with hit in defensive zone
Victor Hedman credited with hit in defensive zone
SHOT
Jonathan Drouin shot blocked by Nick Perbix
Takeaway by Ross Colton in defensive zone
Takeaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Takeaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rafael Harvey-Pinard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Sam Montembeault
Giveaway by David Savard in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Stoppage
Stoppage
SHOT
Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Steven Stamkos
Alex Belzile won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Sam Montembeault
Alex Belzile credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
Giveaway by Ian Cole in defensive zone
Mikey Eyssimont credited with hit on Michael Pezzetta in offensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Chris Tierney in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Chris Tierney
Ross Colton credited with hit on Chris Wideman in offensive zone
Ross Colton won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Denis Gurianov shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Michael Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Michael Matheson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Sam Montembeault
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Alex Belzile in offensive zone
Giveaway by Alex Belzile in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
Takeaway by Mike Hoffman in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Sam Montembeault
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Johnathan Kovacevic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Ian Cole in defensive zone
Chris Tierney won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Michael Matheson assisted by David Savard
1-3
Takeaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Sam Montembeault
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Sam Montembeault
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by Johnathan Kovacevic in defensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Alex Belzile in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Pat Maroon shot blocked by David Savard
Takeaway by Nick Perbix in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Josh Anderson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Barron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
Giveaway by Josh Anderson in defensive zone
Brandon Hagel won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
Penalty to Pat Maroon 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Michael Pezzetta)
Penalty to Michael Pezzetta 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Pat Maroon)
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Ian Cole in defensive zone
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Ian Cole in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Sam Montembeault
Giveaway by Rem Pitlick in neutral zone
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
David Savard credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by David Savard
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Denis Gurianov
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Josh Anderson in offensive zone
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Michael Matheson
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Belzile saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Chris Wideman
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point
1-2
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Belzile in neutral zone
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Chris Tierney in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Sam Montembeault
Shorthanded - Chris Tierney won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Ross Colton shot blocked by Johnathan Kovacevic
Penalty to Denis Gurianov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ross Colton)
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Denis Gurianov
SHOT
Shot missed by Chris Tierney
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Tanner Jeannot in neutral zone
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
David Savard credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Steven Stamkos
SHOT
Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Alex Killorn
SHOT
Shot missed by Rafael Harvey-Pinard
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Mike Hoffman in offensive zone
SHOT
Mike Hoffman shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Chris Wideman in offensive zone
Giveaway by Rem Pitlick in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Sam Montembeault
Corey Perry credited with hit on Johnathan Kovacevic in offensive zone
Giveaway by Johnathan Kovacevic in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Pezzetta saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Belzile
SHOT
Ian Cole shot blocked by Mike Hoffman
David Savard credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Michael Matheson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Sam Montembeault
Giveaway by Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Rem Pitlick
SHOT
Shot on goal by Denis Gurianov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Ian Cole shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
Giveaway by Joel Edmundson in defensive zone
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Sam Montembeault
Power play - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Joel Edmundson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sam Montembeault
SHOT
Power play - Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Rafael Harvey-Pinard
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Rafael Harvey-Pinard in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Joel Edmundson credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Chris Tierney in offensive zone
Penalty to Brendan Gallagher 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mikey Eyssimont)
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
Takeaway by Chris Wideman in defensive zone
Mikey Eyssimont won faceoff against Alex Belzile in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Johnathan Kovacevic credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Sam Montembeault
Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jonathan Drouin assisted by Denis Gurianov and Justin Barron
0-2
SHOT
Nick Perbix shot blocked by Chris Wideman
Giveaway by Rem Pitlick in defensive zone
Giveaway by Sam Montembeault in defensive zone
Joel Edmundson credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Sam Montembeault
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Alex Belzile in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Barron saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Alex Belzile won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Takeaway by Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Giveaway by David Savard in defensive zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Michael Matheson
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Justin Barron in offensive zone
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
Tanner Jeannot credited with hit on Justin Barron in offensive zone
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Chris Tierney in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Justin Barron credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Justin Barron
SHOT
Shot missed by Denis Gurianov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Hoffman saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Johnathan Kovacevic credited with hit in defensive zone
Alex Belzile won faceoff against Mikey Eyssimont in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Kirby Dach
0-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Sam Montembeault
Brayden Point won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Michael Matheson
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Sam Montembeault
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Michael Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Rafael Harvey-Pinard
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mike Hoffman
Shorthanded - Erik Cernak credited with hit on Rafael Harvey-Pinard in defensive zone
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nick Suzuki)
Takeaway by Mike Hoffman in offensive zone
Takeaway by Pat Maroon in defensive zone
Takeaway by Alex Belzile in offensive zone
SHOT
Michael Matheson shot blocked by Pat Maroon
Takeaway by Michael Matheson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
Takeaway by Corey Perry in neutral zone
Ross Colton credited with hit on Johnathan Kovacevic in offensive zone
Ross Colton credited with hit on Johnathan Kovacevic in offensive zone
Takeaway by Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Rafael Harvey-Pinard credited with hit on Nick Perbix in offensive zone
Giveaway by Joel Edmundson in defensive zone
Alex Belzile won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 43% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 19 |
| |
|---|
| 33 | Shots on Goal | 20 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 43% | |||
| 2/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 20 | |||
| 8 | Giveaways | 19 |
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Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
- Date: Tuesday, March 21, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bell Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning -250, Canadiens +220
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 65%
- Canadiens: 35%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 65%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 35%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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