Maple Leafs vs. Oilers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Oilers NHL game on March 1, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
5
Mar 2, 1AM Rogers Place
Mar 2, 1AM Rogers Place
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Oilers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Oilers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
P3 19:13 Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 19:07 Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 18:44 Shot missed by Sam Lafferty
P3 17:52 Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 17:32 Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 16:31 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:46 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:43 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:21 Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 15:16 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 14:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 13:15 Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 12:11 Shot missed by Zach Hyman
P3 10:56 Shot on goal by Kailer Yamamoto saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 10:05 Shot on goal by Devin Shore saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 09:25 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 09:07 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P3 08:54 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 06:33 Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 06:22 Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Stuart Skinner
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Takeaway by Vincent Desharnais in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Lafferty
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Connor McDavid won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Connor McDavid won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Giveaway by Devin Shore in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - Giveaway by David Kampf in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Stuart Skinner
Shorthanded - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Giveaway by Evan Bouchard in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
David Kampf won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Ilya Samsonov
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Connor McDavid in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Stuart Skinner
Giveaway by Derek Ryan in defensive zone
Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Derek Ryan won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
Penalty to Zach Hyman 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Morgan Rielly)
Shorthanded - Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Connor McDavid in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Zach Hyman)
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Zach Hyman in defensive zone
Takeaway by Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Justin Holl 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins)
Penalty to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Justin Holl)
Justin Holl credited with hit on Kailer Yamamoto in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kailer Yamamoto saved by Ilya Samsonov
Mattias Ekholm credited with hit on David Kampf in neutral zone
Mattias Ekholm credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devin Shore saved by Ilya Samsonov
Klim Kostin credited with hit on Noel Acciari in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Ilya Samsonov
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Giveaway by Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Philip Broberg credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Philip Broberg credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Stuart Skinner
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Connor McDavid shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Giveaway by Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Connor McDavid won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Michael Bunting credited with hit on Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Stuart Skinner
Takeaway by Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Shorthanded - Justin Holl credited with hit in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Ryan McLeod shot blocked by Justin Holl
Power play - Kailer Yamamoto won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Shorthanded - T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Sam Lafferty 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Morgan Rielly and Auston Matthews
2-5
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Cody Ceci
Power play - John Tavares credited with hit on Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Ilya Samsonov
Penalty to Connor McDavid 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Jake McCabe)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
Klim Kostin credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Klim Kostin assisted by Ryan McLeod and Warren Foegele
1-5
Giveaway by Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Stuart Skinner
Klim Kostin credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Mitch Marner
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
Vincent Desharnais credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by Warren Foegele in offensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
Justin Holl credited with hit on Connor McDavid in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Stuart Skinner
John Tavares credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in offensive zone
Kailer Yamamoto credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Cody Ceci in offensive zone
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Devin Shore shot blocked by Justin Holl
Devin Shore won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Derek Ryan won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Derek Ryan in offensive zone
SHOT
Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
John Tavares credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Stuart Skinner
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Ilya Samsonov
T.J. Brodie credited with hit in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Vincent Desharnais shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Stuart Skinner
David Kampf won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kailer Yamamoto saved by Ilya Samsonov
GOAL
Goal scored by Kailer Yamamoto assisted by Cody Ceci and Darnell Nurse
1-4
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Oilers
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Stuart Skinner
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Warren Foegele in neutral zone
Takeaway by Warren Foegele in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kailer Yamamoto saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Derek Ryan
Maple Leafs credited with hit on Klim Kostin in defensive zone
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Devin Shore in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Connor McDavid won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan O'Reilly
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Ilya Samsonov
Leon Draisaitl credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Takeaway by Derek Ryan in offensive zone
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Derek Ryan in defensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Klim Kostin credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Cody Ceci credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
Mattias Ekholm credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by Warren Foegele in neutral zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Stuart Skinner
Kailer Yamamoto credited with hit on Jake McCabe in neutral zone
Kailer Yamamoto credited with hit on Jake McCabe in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Zach Hyman assisted by Mattias Ekholm and Connor McDavid
1-3
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
SHOT
Connor McDavid shot blocked by William Nylander
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Ilya Samsonov
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Klim Kostin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Lafferty saved by Stuart Skinner
Maple Leafs credited with hit on Darnell Nurse in offensive zone
SHOT
Warren Foegele shot blocked by Justin Holl
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Stuart Skinner
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Brett Kulak in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Ilya Samsonov
Michael Bunting credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
SHOT
Cody Ceci shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Brett Kulak
Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Ryan O'Reilly credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Connor McDavid assisted by Zach Hyman
1-2
Klim Kostin credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Takeaway by Devin Shore in offensive zone
Devin Shore credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Ilya Samsonov
David Kampf won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Stuart Skinner
GOAL
Goal scored by David Kampf assisted by Mitch Marner
1-1
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Takeaway by Evan Bouchard in defensive zone
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Derek Ryan in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Lafferty saved by Stuart Skinner
Klim Kostin credited with hit on Noel Acciari in defensive zone
Brett Kulak credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Vincent Desharnais credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devin Shore saved by Ilya Samsonov
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Stuart Skinner
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
Darnell Nurse credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Stuart Skinner
Takeaway by Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Philip Broberg credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
Philip Broberg credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - Takeaway by Michael Bunting in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Mattias Janmark
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Klim Kostin in offensive zone
Penalty to Connor McDavid 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Ryan O'Reilly)
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
Klim Kostin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kailer Yamamoto saved by Ilya Samsonov
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Connor McDavid assisted by Leon Draisaitl and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
0-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Ilya Samsonov
Power play - Takeaway by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
Power play - Takeaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Philip Broberg)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Philip Broberg saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by Sam Lafferty
SHOT
Klim Kostin shot blocked by Sam Lafferty
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Klim Kostin in defensive zone
Devin Shore credited with hit in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Devin Shore saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Stuart Skinner
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Hyman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Ilya Samsonov
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 11 | |||
| 22 | Hits | 25 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 6 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 28 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 57% | Faceoff Win % | 44% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 11 | |||
| 22 | Hits | 25 | |||
| 13 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 6 | Giveaways | 11 |
Game Prediction Article
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Maple Leafs vs. Oilers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Oilers
- Date: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Rogers Place
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -110, Oilers -105
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 50%
- Oilers: 50%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 50%, while the Oilers have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Rogers Place on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Oilers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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