Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Sabres NHL game on February 21, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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FINAL

NHL

FINAL

NHL

Maple Leafs

Feb 22, 12:30AM KeyBank Center

Sabres

Feb 22, 12:30AM KeyBank Center

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Maple Leafs	4	1	1	6
Sabres	0	0	3	3

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Maple LeafsTOR

Win %

100%

SabresBUF

Win Probability

TEAM	1	2	3	T
Maple Leafs	4	1	1	6
Sabres	0	0	3	3

Play by Play

GOALS

ALL

P3 20:00

End of 3rd Period.

P3 19:01

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 18:50

Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone

P3 18:50

GOAL

Goal scored by Ryan O'Reilly assisted by Mitch Marner

6-3

P3 18:39

Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Kyle Okposo in defensive zone

P3 18:39

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P3 17:55

David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone

P3 17:55

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 17:54

SHOT

Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 16:59

Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone

P3 16:49

Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone

P3 16:36

Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone

P3 16:36

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 16:36

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Craig Anderson

P3 16:33

Takeaway by Noel Acciari in offensive zone

P3 16:29

Dylan Cozens won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone

P3 16:29

David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone

P3 16:29

GOAL

Goal scored by Jeff Skinner assisted by Rasmus Dahlin and Alex Tuch

5-3

P3 16:20

SHOT

Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Craig Anderson

P3 15:25

Power play - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone

P3 15:25

Penalty to Tyson Jost 2 minutes for Misconduct

P3 15:25

Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Tyson Jost)

P3 14:36

SHOT

Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews

P3 14:02

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Craig Anderson

P3 14:00

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Craig Anderson

P3 13:51

Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone

P3 13:51

Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout

P3 13:51

Penalty to Henri Jokiharju 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Alexander Kerfoot)

P3 13:51

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Craig Anderson

P3 12:53

David Kampf won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in defensive zone

P3 12:53

Stoppage - Icing

P3 12:16

Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone

P3 11:45

Justin Holl credited with hit on Tyson Jost in defensive zone

P3 11:27

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone

P3 10:41

David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone

P3 10:41

Stoppage - Icing

P3 10:34

Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Owen Power in defensive zone

P3 10:30

SHOT

Shot missed by Alex Tuch

P3 10:04

SHOT

Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot

P3 09:59

SHOT

Maple Leafs shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons

P3 09:53

SHOT

Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 09:31

SHOT

Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 09:10

SHOT

Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Craig Anderson

P3 08:59

T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Casey Mittelstadt in neutral zone

P3 08:39

Takeaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone

P3 08:01

Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone

P3 08:01

GOAL

Goal scored by Alex Tuch

5-2

P3 07:41

SHOT

Tage Thompson shot blocked by T.J. Brodie

P3 07:28

Jeff Skinner won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone

P3 07:28

Stoppage - Icing

P3 07:15

David Kampf won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in defensive zone

P3 07:15

Jeff Skinner won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone

P3 07:15

Stoppage - Icing

P3 07:01

SHOT

Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 06:50

David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone

P3 06:50

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 06:49

SHOT

Shot on goal by JJ Peterka saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 06:39

Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P3 06:39

Stoppage - Icing

P3 06:13

Noel Acciari won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone

P3 06:13

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 05:12

Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone

P3 05:12

GOAL

Goal scored by Jack Quinn assisted by Casey Mittelstadt

5-1

P3 02:20

SHOT

Power play - Alex Tuch shot blocked by T.J. Brodie

P3 02:10

Power play - Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone

P3 01:59

Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone

P3 01:59

Penalty to Conor Timmins 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Tyson Jost)

P3 01:39

SHOT

Tyson Jost shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P3 01:36

SHOT

Tyson Jost shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P3 01:02

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 01:01

SHOT

Shot missed by JJ Peterka

P3 00:56

Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone

P3 00:56

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 00:56

SHOT

Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 00:30

SHOT

Tage Thompson shot blocked by Mitch Marner

P3 00:21

Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone

P3 00:21

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P3 00:21

SHOT

Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Ilya Samsonov

P3 00:13

Jeff Skinner won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone

P3 00:13

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P3 00:00

Tage Thompson won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone

P2 20:00

End of 2nd Period.

P2 20:00

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Craig Anderson

P2 19:43

Tage Thompson credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone

P2 19:41

Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P2 19:40

Takeaway by Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone

P2 18:59

Noel Acciari credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in offensive zone

P2 18:36

Tyson Jost credited with hit on Conor Timmins in offensive zone

P2 18:08

SHOT

Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 17:40

SHOT

Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 17:21

SHOT

Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Craig Anderson

P2 17:14

Giveaway by Jacob Bryson in offensive zone

P2 15:51

SHOT

Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot

P2 15:42

Takeaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone

P2 14:56

David Kampf won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone

P2 14:56

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P2 14:43

Jeff Skinner won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone

P2 14:43

Stoppage - Icing

P2 14:36

Power play - David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone

P2 14:36

GOAL

Power play - Goal scored by William Nylander

5-0

P2 14:28

SHOT

Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Craig Anderson

P2 14:11

Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone

P2 14:11

Stoppage - TV timeout

P2 14:11

Penalty to Jacob Bryson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by T.J. Brodie)

P2 14:02

Takeaway by Michael Bunting in neutral zone

P2 13:32

SHOT

Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin

P2 13:16

Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P2 13:11

Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P2 13:11

Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout

P2 13:11

SHOT

William Nylander shot blocked by Peyton Krebs

P2 12:49

SHOT

Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Craig Anderson

P2 11:53

David Kampf won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone

P2 11:53

Stoppage - Icing

P2 11:40

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 11:19

SHOT

Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren

P2 10:28

Giveaway by Rasmus Dahlin in defensive zone

P2 10:20

SHOT

Zachary Aston-Reese shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin

P2 09:49

SHOT

Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Craig Anderson

P2 09:44

SHOT

Owen Power shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P2 09:08

Giveaway by Peyton Krebs in offensive zone

P2 08:26

David Kampf won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in defensive zone

P2 08:26

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 08:26

SHOT

Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 07:52

Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone

P2 07:52

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P2 07:51

SHOT

Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin

P2 06:51

Giveaway by Alex Tuch in offensive zone

P2 06:13

Justin Holl credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone

P2 06:09

Kyle Okposo credited with hit on William Nylander in neutral zone

P2 05:50

Takeaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone

P2 05:47

Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P2 05:47

Stoppage - Referee or Linesman

P2 05:41

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Craig Anderson

P2 05:24

Giveaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone

P2 05:01

David Kampf won faceoff against Casey Mittelstadt in defensive zone

P2 05:01

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 05:01

SHOT

Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 04:46

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 04:46

Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone

P2 04:46

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 04:46

SHOT

Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 04:40

Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone

P2 04:40

Stoppage - Puck in Netting

P2 04:39

SHOT

Alex Tuch shot blocked by Justin Holl

P2 04:39

SHOT

Shot missed by Alex Tuch

P2 04:32

SHOT

Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Justin Holl

P2 04:03

Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Justin Holl in neutral zone

P2 03:44

Kyle Okposo credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone

P2 03:15

SHOT

Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 03:07

Noel Acciari credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone

P2 02:56

Jack Quinn credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in offensive zone

P2 02:45

Jack Quinn credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone

P2 02:28

SHOT

Maple Leafs shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin

P2 02:26

Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in neutral zone

P2 02:14

David Kampf won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone

P2 02:11

Takeaway by Pierre Engvall in offensive zone

P2 02:01

David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone

P2 02:01

Stoppage - Icing

P2 01:34

Alex Tuch credited with hit on John Tavares in offensive zone

P2 01:30

SHOT

Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 01:07

SHOT

Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin

P2 00:59

Takeaway by Tage Thompson in defensive zone

P2 00:54

John Tavares won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone

P2 00:54

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P2 00:45

SHOT

Shot missed by Jeff Skinner

P2 00:45

SHOT

Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Morgan Rielly

P2 00:39

SHOT

Shot on goal by Kyle Okposo saved by Ilya Samsonov

P2 00:25

Takeaway by Kyle Okposo in neutral zone

P1 20:00

End of 1st Period.

P1 19:58

David Kampf won faceoff against Tyson Jost in defensive zone

P1 19:58

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 19:58

SHOT

Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 18:59

Alex Tuch credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone

P1 18:42

Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone

P1 18:42

SHOT

Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 18:42

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 18:31

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 18:28

David Kampf won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in defensive zone

P1 18:28

Stoppage - Icing

P1 18:25

Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone

P1 18:15

SHOT

Shot missed by Jack Quinn

P1 17:53

SHOT

Shot missed by Casey Mittelstadt

P1 17:25

Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone

P1 17:12

SHOT

Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Craig Anderson

P1 17:00

Kyle Okposo won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone

P1 17:00

SHOT

Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Craig Anderson

P1 16:31

SHOT

Shot missed by Owen Power

P1 16:21

Justin Holl credited with hit on Victor Olofsson in defensive zone

P1 15:25

Takeaway by Noel Acciari in defensive zone

P1 15:11

Noel Acciari credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in neutral zone

P1 15:06

Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone

P1 15:06

Stoppage - Icing

P1 14:51

Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone

P1 14:51

Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout

P1 14:20

SHOT

Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Kyle Okposo

P1 14:14

David Kampf won faceoff against Tyson Jost in offensive zone

P1 14:14

Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)

P1 14:14

SHOT

Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Craig Anderson

P1 13:58

David Kampf won faceoff against Kyle Okposo in neutral zone

P1 13:58

Stoppage - Puck in Crowd

P1 13:53

SHOT

Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Craig Anderson

P1 13:48

SHOT

Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 13:31

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 13:30

SHOT

Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Justin Holl

P1 13:16

Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone

P1 13:16

SHOT

Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Craig Anderson

P1 13:16

Stoppage

P1 13:16

SHOT

Jeff Skinner shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren

P1 13:00

Takeaway by Tage Thompson in neutral zone

P1 12:23

SHOT

Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Craig Anderson

P1 12:09

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone

P1 12:09

Sabres replaced goalie. (Craig Anderson)

P1 12:09

GOAL

Goal scored by Michael Bunting

4-0

P1 11:48

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 11:20

Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Tyson Jost in neutral zone

P1 10:50

SHOT

Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

P1 10:46

Kyle Okposo credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone

P1 10:22

David Kampf credited with hit on Henri Jokiharju in offensive zone

P1 09:59

SHOT

Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Ilya Samsonov

P1 09:49

Giveaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone

P1 09:07

SHOT

Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

P1 09:03

Giveaway by Owen Power in defensive zone

P1 09:00

Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P1 09:00

Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout

P1 08:57

Takeaway by Auston Matthews in neutral zone

P1 08:30

Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone

P1 08:23

Takeaway by Zachary Aston-Reese in offensive zone

P1 07:14

Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Home Timeout

P1 07:14

Tyson Jost won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone

P1 07:14

GOAL

Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by Mitch Marner

3-0

P1 06:45

Auston Matthews credited with hit on JJ Peterka in neutral zone

P1 06:34

Rasmus Dahlin credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone

P1 06:17

Takeaway by Michael Bunting in defensive zone

P1 06:12

SHOT

Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

P1 06:01

SHOT

Shot missed by T.J. Brodie

P1 05:31

SHOT

Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese

P1 05:12

Noel Acciari credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in offensive zone

P1 05:01

Noel Acciari won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone

P1 05:01

SHOT

Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

P1 05:00

SHOT

Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

P1 04:38

Giveaway by Kyle Okposo in neutral zone

P1 04:28

David Kampf won faceoff against Tyson Jost in neutral zone

P1 04:28

GOAL

Goal scored by Ryan O'Reilly assisted by Mitch Marner and John Tavares

2-0

P1 04:05

Alex Tuch credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone

P1 03:51

Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone

P1 03:51

GOAL

Goal scored by Ryan O'Reilly assisted by Mitch Marner and John Tavares

1-0

P1 03:36

Tyson Jost won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone

P1 03:36

Stoppage - Icing

P1 02:46

Jack Quinn credited with hit on Noel Acciari in offensive zone

P1 02:43

Henri Jokiharju credited with hit on Noel Acciari in neutral zone

P1 02:41

Noel Acciari credited with hit on Henri Jokiharju in neutral zone

P1 02:41

SHOT

Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese

P1 02:27

Noel Acciari credited with hit on Jack Quinn in defensive zone

P1 01:58

SHOT

Shot missed by Dylan Cozens

P1 01:25

Takeaway by Alex Tuch in offensive zone

P1 01:05

Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone

P1 00:33

SHOT

Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Auston Matthews

P1 00:27

SHOT

Shot missed by Henri Jokiharju

P1 00:13

Takeaway by Kyle Okposo in offensive zone

P1 00:00

Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tyson Jost in neutral zone

P1 00:00

Game Setup.

Stats

Maple Leafs		STATS		Sabres

29	Shots on Goal	32
59%	Faceoff Win %	41%
2/1	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	1/0
4	Penalty Infraction Mins	6
16	Hits	17
18	Shots Blocked	7
1	Giveaways	8

Maple LeafsTOR			SabresBUF

29	Shots on Goal	32
59%	Faceoff Win %	41%
2/1	PP Opportunities/PP Goals	1/0
4	Penalty Infraction Mins	6
16	Hits	17
18	Shots Blocked	7
1	Giveaways	8

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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Sabres
Date: Tuesday, February 21, 2023
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
Total (Over/Under): 6.5
Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -167, Sabres +150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Maple Leafs: 59%
Sabres: 41%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 59%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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