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Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 29, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
5
Jan 29, 10PM Scotiabank Arena
Jan 29, 10PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
P3 19:01 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 18:49 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Joey Anderson
P3 17:51 Power play - Shot missed by Marcus Johansson
P3 17:10 Shot on goal by Nicolas Aube-Kubel saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 16:47 Goal scored by Zachary Aston-Reese assisted by Pontus Holmberg and Mark Giordano
P3 16:41 Mark Giordano shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 16:30 Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
P3 15:52 Shot missed by David Kampf
P3 14:53 Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
P3 14:35 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 14:13 Shot missed by Michael Bunting
P3 14:02 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:25 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P3 13:17 Shot missed by Nick Jensen
P3 12:40 Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
P3 12:06 Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 11:27 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 08:16 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 07:36 Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 07:31 Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Lars Eller won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Lars Eller won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Lars Eller in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Joey Anderson
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Marcus Johansson
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Power play - Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Wayne Simmonds 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Garnet Hathaway)
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Aube-Kubel saved by Ilya Samsonov
Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Zachary Aston-Reese assisted by Pontus Holmberg and Mark Giordano
1-5
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
SHOT
Shot missed by David Kampf
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
Giveaway by Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Charlie Lindgren
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Bunting
Giveaway by Trevor van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Charlie Lindgren
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit on Trevor van Riemsdyk in offensive zone
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Jensen
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
Nicolas Aube-Kubel credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
Lars Eller won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Takeaway by T.J. Oshie in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Sonny Milano credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Marcus Johansson in defensive zone
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Wayne Simmonds in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Player Equipment
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Conor Sheary in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Penalty to Erik Gustafsson 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Gustafsson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Matt Irwin in defensive zone
SHOT
Conor Sheary shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
David Kampf won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sonny Milano
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Irwin saved by Ilya Samsonov
Justin Holl credited with hit on Evgeny Kuznetsov in defensive zone
Matt Irwin credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Charlie Lindgren
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Lars Eller in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by T.J. Oshie
SHOT
Shot missed by Lars Eller
SHOT
Garnet Hathaway shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Nicolas Aube-Kubel in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Nicklas Backstrom in defensive zone
Penalty to Rasmus Sandin 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Conor Sheary)
David Kampf won faceoff against Nicklas Backstrom in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
David Kampf won faceoff against Nicklas Backstrom in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Giveaway by Dmitry Orlov in offensive zone
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Sonny Milano in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeny Kuznetsov saved by Ilya Samsonov
Dmitry Orlov credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Ilya Samsonov
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Justin Holl in neutral zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Charlie Lindgren
John Tavares credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in neutral zone
Capitals replaced goalie. (Charlie Lindgren)
GOAL
Goal scored by Pierre Engvall assisted by T.J. Brodie and David Kampf
1-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joey Anderson saved by Darcy Kuemper
Takeaway by Conor Sheary in offensive zone
Giveaway by Nicolas Aube-Kubel in offensive zone
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Lars Eller in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Darcy Kuemper
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Dylan Strome in defensive zone
T.J. Oshie credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Takeaway by William Nylander in defensive zone
Takeaway by Anthony Mantha in neutral zone
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Matt Irwin credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Justin Holl credited with hit on Sonny Milano in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Calle Jarnkrok and Rasmus Sandin
1-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Darcy Kuemper
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
SHOT
Nicklas Backstrom shot blocked by John Tavares
SHOT
Nicklas Backstrom shot blocked by John Tavares
Nicklas Backstrom credited with hit on John Tavares in offensive zone
Takeaway by Marcus Johansson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Nick Jensen in defensive zone
Justin Holl credited with hit in neutral zone
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit on Nicolas Aube-Kubel in offensive zone
Nick Jensen credited with hit on Wayne Simmonds in defensive zone
Nicolas Aube-Kubel credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in offensive zone
Nicolas Aube-Kubel won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Oshie saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by T.J. Oshie in neutral zone
T.J. Oshie credited with hit on David Kampf in offensive zone
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on David Kampf in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by David Kampf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Darcy Kuemper
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Trevor van Riemsdyk credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Giveaway by Trevor van Riemsdyk in neutral zone
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Dmitry Orlov credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Darcy Kuemper
Erik Gustafsson credited with hit on Joey Anderson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by Ilya Samsonov in defensive zone
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicklas Backstrom saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Sonny Milano in neutral zone
Dmitry Orlov credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Dmitry Orlov credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
Power play - Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by T.J. Oshie saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Power play - T.J. Oshie shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Shorthanded - Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against T.J. Oshie in defensive zone
Penalty to Justin Holl 2 minutes for Closing Hand on the Puck
Nicklas Backstrom credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Joey Anderson credited with hit on Erik Gustafsson in neutral zone
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Michael Bunting assisted by John Tavares and Mitch Marner
1-1
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Darcy Kuemper
Power play - Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Conor Sheary in defensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Penalty to Nicolas Aube-Kubel 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Timothy Liljegren)
Lars Eller credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Aube-Kubel saved by Ilya Samsonov
Michael Bunting credited with hit on Garnet Hathaway in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Giveaway by Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Darcy Kuemper
David Kampf won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Darcy Kuemper
SHOT
Shot missed by Joey Anderson
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Joey Anderson in defensive zone
Giveaway by Trevor van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Joey Anderson in defensive zone
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Evgeny Kuznetsov in defensive zone
SHOT
Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Takeaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Lars Eller shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nicklas Backstrom assisted by Marcus Johansson and Conor Sheary
1-0
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Darcy Kuemper
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against T.J. Oshie in defensive zone
Penalty to Alexander Kerfoot 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by T.J. Oshie)
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Justin Holl credited with hit on Sonny Milano in defensive zone
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Darcy Kuemper
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in defensive zone
Penalty to Lars Eller 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Mark Giordano)
Penalty to Mark Giordano 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Dmitry Orlov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Garnet Hathaway saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Samsonov
Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Erik Gustafsson credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
Giveaway by T.J. Oshie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Samsonov
David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Nick Jensen in offensive zone
Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Nick Jensen in defensive zone
Takeaway by Michael Bunting in neutral zone
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by John Tavares
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Justin Holl
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Gustafsson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Marcus Johansson shot blocked by Mark Giordano
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Darcy Kuemper
Matt Irwin credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Nick Jensen credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
Giveaway by T.J. Oshie in offensive zone
John Tavares credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Darcy Kuemper
Anthony Mantha credited with hit on John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Darcy Kuemper
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Irwin saved by Ilya Samsonov
David Kampf won faceoff against Marcus Johansson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Nicolas Aube-Kubel shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit on Erik Gustafsson in offensive zone
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Darcy Kuemper
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Evgeny Kuznetsov in defensive zone
Takeaway by T.J. Oshie in neutral zone
T.J. Oshie credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Dylan Strome
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Matt Irwin credited with hit on Michael Bunting in defensive zone
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Sonny Milano in defensive zone
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
David Kampf won faceoff against Nicklas Backstrom in offensive zone
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Lars Eller
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Lars Eller
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Garnet Hathaway
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Darcy Kuemper
Giveaway by Trevor van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
SHOT
Michael Bunting shot blocked by Nick Jensen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Darcy Kuemper
John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 40 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 10 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 40 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 10 |
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Capitals vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Sunday, January 29, 2023
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals +123, Maple Leafs -140
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 43%
- Maple Leafs: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 43%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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