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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 27, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
6
2
Jan 28, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Jan 28, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
P3 17:56 Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 14:53 Goal scored by Claude Giroux
P3 14:12 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 12:43 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 12:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 12:10 Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
P3 11:37 Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P3 10:52 Power play - Claude Giroux shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P3 10:14 Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
P3 09:59 Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 09:41 Travis Hamonic shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P3 09:07 Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 08:38 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
P3 08:33 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 08:11 Conor Timmins shot blocked by Derick Brassard
P3 08:06 Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
P3 07:35 Shot on goal by Erik Brannstrom saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 07:27 Shot missed by Claude Giroux
P3 05:56 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 05:50 Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Anton Forsberg
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Dylan Gambrell in defensive zone
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Dylan Gambrell in defensive zone
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Thomas Chabot credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Anton Forsberg
Drake Batherson credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Ridly Greig won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Ridly Greig in offensive zone
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Nikita Zaitsev in offensive zone
Shane Pinto won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Claude Giroux
6-2
Takeaway by Claude Giroux in neutral zone
Giveaway by Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Conor Timmins credited with hit on Austin Watson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
Power play - Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Giveaway by Derick Brassard in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Claude Giroux shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Michael Bunting credited with hit on Derick Brassard in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
John Tavares won faceoff against Derick Brassard in neutral zone
Takeaway by Conor Timmins in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Player Equipment
SHOT
Travis Hamonic shot blocked by Mark Giordano
John Tavares credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Alex DeBrincat credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Derick Brassard
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
Giveaway by David Kampf in defensive zone
Derick Brassard won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
William Nylander credited with hit on Alex DeBrincat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Brannstrom saved by Ilya Samsonov
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Ridly Greig in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Claude Giroux
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Claude Giroux in defensive zone
Takeaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Giveaway by Austin Watson in defensive zone
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Ilya Samsonov
Derick Brassard credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Samsonov
John Tavares won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
GOAL
Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk
5-2
Ridly Greig won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Senators shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
Giveaway by Justin Holl in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
William Nylander credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Michael Bunting in neutral zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
SHOT
Alexander Kerfoot shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Takeaway by Joey Anderson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Parker Kelly
Power play - John Tavares credited with hit on Nick Holden in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Anton Forsberg
Power play - Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Ilya Samsonov
Power play - Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Tim Stutzle 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mark Giordano)
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Drake Batherson assisted by Shane Pinto
4-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
David Kampf won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Ilya Samsonov
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Nick Holden
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Austin Watson
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Sanderson
SHOT
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Ridly Greig won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Drake Batherson
Shorthanded - Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by Alex DeBrincat) (Served by Zachary Aston-Reese)
John Tavares credited with hit on Travis Hamonic in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
John Tavares won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Nick Holden
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Derick Brassard assisted by Claude Giroux and Jake Sanderson
3-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ridly Greig saved by Ilya Samsonov
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Player Equipment
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Anton Forsberg
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Pontus Holmberg 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Claude Giroux)
Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
David Kampf won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Dylan Gambrell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Anton Forsberg
Takeaway by Michael Bunting in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Derick Brassard
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Jake Sanderson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joey Anderson saved by Anton Forsberg
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by John Tavares and Mitch Marner
2-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Anton Forsberg
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Jake Sanderson
Shorthanded - Travis Hamonic credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Nikita Zaitsev 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
Shane Pinto credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Bunting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brady Tkachuk assisted by Travis Hamonic and Tim Stutzle
2-1
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on David Kampf in offensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Derick Brassard saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by Ilya Samsonov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Brannstrom
Giveaway by Conor Timmins in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Brannstrom
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Nikita Zaitsev in defensive zone
Nikita Zaitsev credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
Takeaway by Claude Giroux in neutral zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
John Tavares credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Nick Holden
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Derick Brassard in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Shane Pinto in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Holden saved by Ilya Samsonov
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Ilya Samsonov
Power play - Giveaway by Conor Timmins in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in offensive zone
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Derick Brassard saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Claude Giroux saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by William Nylander
Power play - Takeaway by Drake Batherson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
Power play - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Power play - Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - Justin Holl credited with hit on Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Pontus Holmberg 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Jake Sanderson)
Giveaway by Jake Sanderson in defensive zone
Alex DeBrincat credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in neutral zone
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Ridly Greig in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Joey Anderson assisted by Alexander Kerfoot and Justin Holl
1-1
Austin Watson credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Parker Kelly in neutral zone
Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by Claude Giroux in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Anton Forsberg
John Tavares won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Anton Forsberg
John Tavares won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Anton Forsberg
Alex DeBrincat credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
Derick Brassard credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Shane Pinto in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
Parker Kelly credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Giveaway by Nick Holden in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Thomas Chabot assisted by Tim Stutzle and Erik Brannstrom
1-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Sanderson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Claude Giroux won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Anton Forsberg
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Michael Bunting)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 33 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 22 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 7 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 34 | Shots on Goal | 33 | |||
| 60% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 5/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 12 | |||
| 22 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 15 | Shots Blocked | 7 | |||
| 15 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Senators vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Senators vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Friday, January 27, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Senators +176, Maple Leafs -200
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Senators: 35%
- Maple Leafs: 65%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 35%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Senators vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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