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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens NHL game on January 21, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Maple Leafs
2
3
Jan 22, 12AM Bell Centre
Canadiens
Jan 22, 12AM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
20002
Canadiens
02013
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
0%
100%
CanadiensMTL
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Maple Leafs
20002
Canadiens
02013
OT1 02:14 Goal scored by Rem Pitlick assisted by Mike Hoffman and David Savard
OT1 01:34 Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ilya Samsonov
OT1 00:51 Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ilya Samsonov
OT1 00:50 Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Ilya Samsonov
OT1 00:50 Shot missed by Josh Anderson
OT1 00:39 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sam Montembeault
OT1 00:14 Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P3 19:58 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 18:53 Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 18:51 Power play - Shot missed by Kirby Dach
P3 18:27 Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 17:51 Mike Hoffman shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 17:19 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 15:15 Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Justin Holl
P3 15:04 Mark Giordano shot blocked by Christian Dvorak
P3 14:45 Christian Dvorak shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P3 14:40 Shot on goal by Evgenii Dadonov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 13:08 Zachary Aston-Reese shot blocked by Kirby Dach
P3 13:06 Alexander Kerfoot shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 12:02 Power play - Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Michael Matheson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
OT1 05:00
End of 1st OT.
OT1 02:14
GOAL
Goal scored by Rem Pitlick assisted by Mike Hoffman and David Savard
2-3
OT1 01:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ilya Samsonov
OT1 00:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ilya Samsonov
OT1 00:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Ilya Samsonov
OT1 00:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
OT1 00:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sam Montembeault
OT1 00:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
OT1 00:00
David Kampf won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 18:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 18:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kirby Dach
P3 18:27
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 17:53
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P3 17:53
Stoppage - Home Timeout
P3 17:53
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Joel Edmundson)
P3 17:51
SHOT
Mike Hoffman shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 17:21
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 17:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 16:53
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 15:52
Stoppage - Icing
P3 15:36
Giveaway by Ilya Samsonov in defensive zone
P3 15:25
Rafael Harvey-Pinard credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
P3 15:15
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Justin Holl
P3 15:04
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Christian Dvorak
P3 14:45
SHOT
Christian Dvorak shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P3 14:41
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P3 14:41
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgenii Dadonov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 14:36
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P3 14:26
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
P3 13:21
Takeaway by Mike Hoffman in offensive zone
P3 13:08
SHOT
Zachary Aston-Reese shot blocked by Kirby Dach
P3 13:06
SHOT
Alexander Kerfoot shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 12:56
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
P3 12:05
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Michael Matheson in defensive zone
P3 12:02
SHOT
Power play - Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Michael Matheson
P3 11:28
SHOT
Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by William Nylander
P3 10:14
Penalty to Kirby Dach 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mark Giordano)
P3 09:55
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
P3 09:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 08:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 08:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 08:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 08:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 08:04
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
P3 07:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 07:23
David Savard credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 07:16
Takeaway by Michael Matheson in neutral zone
P3 07:15
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
P3 06:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
P3 06:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Sam Montembeault
P3 06:19
Giveaway by Josh Anderson in defensive zone
P3 05:10
Johnathan Kovacevic credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P3 03:50
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Michael Pezzetta
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:57
SHOT
Power play - Michael Matheson shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P2 19:53
Shorthanded - Giveaway by David Kampf in defensive zone
P2 19:48
Power play - Giveaway by Kirby Dach in offensive zone
P2 19:29
Power play - Giveaway by Mike Hoffman in offensive zone
P2 19:17
Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 19:17
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Player Equipment
P2 19:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mike Hoffman saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 19:01
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 19:01
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 18:57
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P2 18:57
Stoppage - Offside
P2 18:39
Power play - Kirby Dach won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 18:39
Penalty to Mark Giordano 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Josh Anderson)
P2 18:27
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Johnathan Kovacevic in offensive zone
P2 18:24
David Kampf won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P2 18:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 18:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 18:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 17:37
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
P2 17:37
Giveaway by David Savard in defensive zone
P2 17:32
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by David Savard
P2 17:26
John Tavares won faceoff against Alex Belzile in offensive zone
P2 17:26
Stoppage - Icing
P2 15:49
SHOT
Canadiens shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
P2 15:40
Giveaway by Joel Edmundson in defensive zone
P2 15:39
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Justin Barron in offensive zone
P2 15:19
Giveaway by Justin Barron in defensive zone
P2 15:17
Giveaway by Zachary Aston-Reese in offensive zone
P2 14:23
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in neutral zone
P2 14:23
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 11:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evgenii Dadonov
P2 10:53
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 10:47
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 10:47
Penalty to Rasmus Sandin 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Sam Montembeault)
P2 07:43
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Evgenii Dadonov
P2 07:33
John Tavares won faceoff against Mike Hoffman in defensive zone
P2 07:33
Stoppage - Icing
P2 07:25
John Tavares won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P2 07:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 07:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 07:20
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 07:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - Player Injury
P2 07:15
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P2 07:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 07:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Savard saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 06:56
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 06:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 05:53
Rafael Harvey-Pinard credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
P2 05:23
Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
P2 05:08
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit on Jordan Harris in defensive zone
P2 05:01
Giveaway by Evgenii Dadonov in offensive zone
P2 04:44
SHOT
Kirby Dach shot blocked by Justin Holl
P2 04:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgenii Dadonov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 04:40
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
P2 04:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Barron
P2 04:22
Kirby Dach won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 04:22
Stoppage - Icing
P2 04:02
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
P2 03:45
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
P2 03:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 02:37
Takeaway by Michael Bunting in offensive zone
P2 02:27
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Kirby Dach in offensive zone
P2 02:27
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 02:26
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by David Savard
P2 02:15
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jesse Ylonen in neutral zone
P2 02:15
Stoppage - Offside
P2 01:59
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
P2 01:46
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Alex Belzile in neutral zone
P2 01:46
GOAL
Goal scored by Josh Anderson assisted by Nick Suzuki and Rem Pitlick
2-1
P2 01:32
Giveaway by Michael Matheson in defensive zone
P2 01:24
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Johnathan Kovacevic
P2 01:07
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
P2 01:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 00:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sam Montembeault
P2 00:00
Shorthanded - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:57
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 19:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 19:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 19:00
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P1 19:00
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 18:43
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P1 18:43
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 18:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
P1 18:43
Penalty to Evgenii Dadonov 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Alexander Kerfoot)
P1 18:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P1 18:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese
P1 18:01
Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on Wayne Simmonds in defensive zone
P1 17:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
P1 17:55
Giveaway by Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P1 17:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese
P1 17:30
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
P1 17:30
GOAL
Goal scored by Calle Jarnkrok assisted by Conor Timmins and Mitch Marner
2-0
P1 17:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 17:20
SHOT
Jordan Harris shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P1 16:54
Giveaway by Jesse Ylonen in defensive zone
P1 16:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
P1 16:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 14:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 14:16
Justin Barron credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
P1 14:07
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P1 14:04
Arber Xhekaj credited with hit in defensive zone
P1 14:00
Giveaway by Justin Barron in defensive zone
P1 13:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 13:49
Giveaway by Justin Barron in defensive zone
P1 13:38
Giveaway by Justin Barron in defensive zone
P1 13:10
Takeaway by Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
P1 12:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P1 12:37
Conor Timmins credited with hit on Michael Pezzetta in defensive zone
P1 12:03
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Michael Matheson
P1 12:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 11:12
Josh Anderson credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
P1 10:53
Takeaway by Justin Barron in defensive zone
P1 10:44
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P1 10:44
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P1 10:24
Michael Pezzetta credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
P1 10:06
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Johnathan Kovacevic in defensive zone
P1 10:03
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
P1 09:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Canadiens
P1 09:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P1 09:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Hoffman saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 08:55
Joel Edmundson credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 08:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Sam Montembeault
P1 08:34
Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P1 08:31
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 08:21
Takeaway by Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 07:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 07:41
SHOT
Michael Pezzetta shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P1 07:41
Takeaway by Alex Belzile in offensive zone
P1 07:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P1 07:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 07:06
Power play - Giveaway by Rem Pitlick in offensive zone
P1 06:23
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
P1 06:23
Stoppage - Offside
P1 06:00
SHOT
Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P1 05:59
Shorthanded - Justin Holl credited with hit on Evgenii Dadonov in defensive zone
P1 05:26
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P1 05:26
Penalty to Zachary Aston-Reese 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Justin Barron)
P1 04:33
Giveaway by Evgenii Dadonov in neutral zone
P1 04:07
David Kampf won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
P1 04:07
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:02
Kirby Dach credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
P1 03:43
Giveaway by Kirby Dach in defensive zone
P1 03:30
Mike Hoffman won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 02:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese
P1 02:07
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Alex Belzile in defensive zone
P1 02:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgenii Dadonov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 01:59
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
P1 01:35
David Kampf won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P1 01:35
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:53
John Tavares won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
P1 00:53
GOAL
Goal scored by Mark Giordano assisted by William Nylander and Auston Matthews
1-0
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Canadiens
38Shots on Goal31
63%Faceoff Win %37%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins6
14Hits31
14Shots Blocked23
7Giveaways21
Maple LeafsTOR
CanadiensMTL
38Shots on Goal31
63%Faceoff Win %37%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins6
14Hits31
14Shots Blocked23
7Giveaways21

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Saturday, January 21, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -360, Canadiens +300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 72%
  • Canadiens: 28%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 72%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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