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Senators vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Lightning NHL game on December 16, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
2
Dec 17, 12AM Amalie Arena
Dec 17, 12AM Amalie Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Senators | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Lightning | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
P3 20:00 Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:48 Shot missed by Ross Colton
P3 19:06 Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:49 Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 18:13 Shot on goal by Alex Formenton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:04 Power play - Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 17:58 Power play - Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 16:42 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 16:09 Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 16:02 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 16:00 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 15:44 Drake Batherson shot blocked by Zach Bogosian
P3 15:30 Shot on goal by Nick Holden saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:13 Shot missed by Ross Colton
P3 14:44 Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 14:08 Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 13:51 Shot missed by Nick Holden
P3 13:01 Boris Katchouk shot blocked by Josh Norris
P3 12:51 Shot missed by Riley Nash
P3 12:32 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Riley Nash
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Josh Norris won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tim Stutzle saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Corey Perry in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Formenton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Corey Perry
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anton Forsberg
Shorthanded - Nick Holden credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in defensive zone
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Penalty to Thomas Chabot 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Corey Perry)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Drake Batherson shot blocked by Zach Bogosian
Josh Norris won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
Josh Norris credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Holden saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Anton Forsberg
Thomas Chabot credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Connor Brown won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Anton Forsberg
Nick Holden credited with hit on Corey Perry in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Holden
Chris Tierney won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Tyler Ennis in neutral zone
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
SHOT
Boris Katchouk shot blocked by Josh Norris
SHOT
Shot missed by Riley Nash
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Riley Nash
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Riley Nash in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Boris Katchouk
Shorthanded - Artem Zub credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Senators 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Brady Tkachuk)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Anton Forsberg
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Mete saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Boris Katchouk credited with hit on Dylan Gambrell in neutral zone
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Tim Stutzle
SHOT
Shot missed by Senators
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
SHOT
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Connor Brown
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jan Rutta saved by Anton Forsberg
Takeaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
SHOT
Patrick Maroon shot blocked by Chris Tierney
Tyler Ennis credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
Chris Tierney credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Bogosian
Josh Norris won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Ross Colton
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against Ross Colton in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Chris Tierney saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Chris Tierney saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - Takeaway by Josh Norris in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Penalty to Anthony Cirelli 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Josh Norris)
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
Artem Zub credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in defensive zone
Nick Holden credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ondrej Palat saved by Anton Forsberg
Ross Colton won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Victor Mete in offensive zone
Riley Nash won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Penalty to Steven Stamkos 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Connor Brown)
Power play - Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Alex Formenton in defensive zone
Power play - Taylor Raddysh won faceoff against Connor Brown in offensive zone
Penalty to Austin Watson 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by Riley Nash)
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Gambrell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Anton Forsberg
Riley Nash won faceoff against Chris Tierney in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Chris Tierney won faceoff against Riley Nash in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Sanford saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Artem Zub credited with hit on Victor Hedman in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
Nick Holden credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in defensive zone
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Chris Tierney won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Victor Hedman
1-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Anton Forsberg
Power play - Taylor Raddysh won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Power play - Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Nicholas Paul
Stoppage - TV timeout
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Boris Katchouk)
Riley Nash won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Patrick Maroon shot blocked by Zach Sanford
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Dylan Gambrell
Shorthanded - Dylan Gambrell credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Nick Holden in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Anton Forsberg
Power play - Taylor Raddysh won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Alex Formenton 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Alex Killorn)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Killorn
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Ross Colton in neutral zone
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
Takeaway by Drake Batherson in neutral zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Holden saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Holden
SHOT
Tyler Ennis shot blocked by Cal Foote
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Takeaway by Connor Brown in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Austin Watson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
SHOT
Brady Tkachuk shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Tyler Ennis credited with hit on Jan Rutta in offensive zone
Riley Nash credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Boris Katchouk
SHOT
Shot missed by Taylor Raddysh
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Dylan Gambrell credited with hit on Cal Foote in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
SHOT
Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
Alex Formenton credited with hit on Cal Foote in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Nick Holden in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Josh Norris won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Killorn assisted by Ross Colton
1-1
Josh Norris credited with hit on Jan Rutta in offensive zone
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Anton Forsberg
Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Dillon Heatherington in offensive zone
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Tyler Ennis in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Chris Tierney in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cal Foote saved by Anton Forsberg
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in offensive zone
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cal Foote saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Norris
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Giveaway by Ondrej Palat in defensive zone
Takeaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Norris won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Anton Forsberg
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Boris Katchouk in defensive zone
Dylan Gambrell credited with hit on Riley Nash in neutral zone
Boris Katchouk credited with hit on Dillon Heatherington in neutral zone
Corey Perry credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Chris Tierney in offensive zone
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Chris Tierney in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Formenton saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Thomas Chabot
1-0
Zach Sanford credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
Zach Sanford credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Sanford saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Jan Rutta shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Nick Holden in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Alex Killorn shot blocked by Brady Tkachuk
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Riley Nash
Taylor Raddysh credited with hit on Nick Holden in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cal Foote saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
Takeaway by Corey Perry in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Anton Forsberg
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Nikita Zaitsev in offensive zone
Thomas Chabot credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
Takeaway by Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Bogosian saved by Anton Forsberg
Takeaway by Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Nick Holden shot blocked by Corey Perry
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathieu Joseph
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cal Foote saved by Anton Forsberg
Austin Watson credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in neutral zone
Mathieu Joseph credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathieu Joseph
Austin Watson credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Taylor Raddysh in neutral zone
Takeaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
Corey Perry credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Nikita Zaitsev in defensive zone
Takeaway by Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
SHOT
Nikita Zaitsev shot blocked by Patrick Maroon
Connor Brown won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
Takeaway by Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Dillon Heatherington credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Boris Katchouk credited with hit on Josh Norris in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Sanford
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Anton Forsberg
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Patrick Maroon in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 33 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 0 | Giveaways | 3 |
| |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 27 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/1 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 33 | Hits | 27 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 0 | Giveaways | 3 |
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Senators vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Senators vs. Lightning
- Date: Thursday, December 16, 2021
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Amalie Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Senators +230, Lightning -235
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Senators: 32%
- Lightning: 68%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 32%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 68%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Amalie Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Senators vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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