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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on May 4, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Lightning
5
3
May 4, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
May 4, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
1225
Maple Leafs
0123
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
1225
Maple Leafs
0123
P3 19:42 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 19:36 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 19:00 Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 18:16 Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:58 Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 17:57 Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:46 Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 17:02 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:31 Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Jack Campbell
P3 16:19 Power play - Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
P3 15:43 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Alexander Kerfoot assisted by T.J. Brodie
P3 15:14 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:04 Shorthanded - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 14:29 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jack Campbell
P3 11:53 Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Jake Muzzin
P3 11:48 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:33 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:52 Shot missed by Ross Colton
P3 07:24 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jack Campbell
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 19:36
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 19:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 18:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:58
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 17:58
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 17:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 17:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:46
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 17:25
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P3 17:25
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout
P3 17:25
Penalty to Brayden Point 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
P3 17:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:51
Power play - Takeaway by Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P3 16:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Jack Campbell
P3 16:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
P3 15:43
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P3 15:43
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Alexander Kerfoot assisted by T.J. Brodie
5-3
P3 15:28
Shorthanded - Jake Muzzin credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
P3 15:14
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:04
SHOT
Shorthanded - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 14:54
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 14:54
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Erik Cernak)
P3 14:29
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 14:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:23
Ondrej Kase credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
P3 13:35
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Patrick Maroon in defensive zone
P3 12:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jack Campbell
P3 12:09
Alex Killorn credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
P3 11:53
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 11:53
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Jake Muzzin
5-2
P3 11:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:43
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P3 11:43
Stoppage - Icing
P3 11:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:15
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 11:15
Stoppage - Icing
P3 10:36
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
P3 09:59
Ross Colton credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
P3 09:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
P3 09:52
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 09:35
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
P3 09:17
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit on Corey Perry in offensive zone
P3 09:09
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit on Corey Perry in offensive zone
P3 09:01
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
P3 08:23
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P3 08:03
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in defensive zone
P3 07:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jack Campbell
P3 07:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:13
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P3 06:57
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in defensive zone
P3 06:38
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in defensive zone
P3 06:25
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 06:25
Stoppage - Offside
P3 06:24
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P3 06:12
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 06:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 06:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 06:04
Giveaway by Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
P3 05:44
Ross Colton credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
P3 05:38
David Kampf won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P3 05:38
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Victor Hedman
5-1
P3 05:33
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Jack Campbell
P3 05:01
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P3 05:01
Penalty to Wayne Simmonds 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Corey Perry)
P3 04:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jack Campbell
P3 04:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
P3 04:53
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P3 04:32
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P3 04:28
David Kampf won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 04:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jack Campbell
P3 03:08
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
P3 02:43
SHOT
Shorthanded - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 02:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jack Campbell
P3 02:08
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 02:08
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare)
P3 02:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:54
Ross Colton credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
P3 01:33
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P3 01:33
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nicholas Paul and Nikita Kucherov
4-1
P3 01:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jack Campbell
P3 01:28
Takeaway by Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P3 01:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:05
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
P3 00:38
Ilya Mikheyev credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in neutral zone
P3 00:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jack Campbell
P3 00:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cal Foote saved by Jack Campbell
P3 00:13
Ilya Mikheyev credited with hit on Cal Foote in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P2 19:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P2 19:26
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Alex Killorn in offensive zone
P2 19:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 18:42
Giveaway by Pierre Engvall in offensive zone
P2 18:32
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
P2 18:23
Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P2 18:23
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:48
Power play - Ondrej Kase won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 17:48
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:39
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jack Campbell
P2 17:24
Power play - Auston Matthews credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
P2 17:19
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Jack Campbell
P2 16:44
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jack Campbell
P2 16:40
Power play - Giveaway by Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 15:59
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P2 15:59
Penalty to Pierre-Edouard Bellemare 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mitch Marner)
P2 15:52
Patrick Maroon won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 15:52
Stoppage - Offside
P2 15:50
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
P2 15:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 15:34
Giveaway by Alex Killorn in defensive zone
P2 15:22
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 15:22
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 15:16
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P2 14:55
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
P2 14:44
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 14:44
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 14:44
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake Muzzin
P2 14:42
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
P2 14:38
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 14:24
Giveaway by Ondrej Kase in offensive zone
P2 14:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P2 14:11
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 13:59
Ilya Mikheyev credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P2 13:46
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P2 13:46
Stoppage - Offside
P2 13:24
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 13:24
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 13:19
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 13:19
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Jack Campbell
P2 12:57
Shorthanded - Ondrej Kase credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
P2 12:17
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:10
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Ilya Mikheyev in defensive zone
P2 11:56
Power play - Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P2 11:43
Shorthanded - Jake Muzzin credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
P2 11:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jack Campbell
P2 11:16
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 11:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jack Campbell
P2 11:00
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 11:00
Penalty to Ilya Lyubushkin 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brayden Point)
P2 10:57
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 10:43
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 10:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 10:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jack Campbell
P2 10:17
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Michael Bunting in neutral zone
P2 10:02
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in neutral zone
P2 09:57
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 09:57
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Victor Hedman and Steven Stamkos
3-1
P2 09:46
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake Muzzin
P2 09:35
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake Muzzin
P2 09:28
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 09:28
Penalty to Wayne Simmonds 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare)
P2 09:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Jack Campbell
P2 09:21
Colin Blackwell credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in neutral zone
P2 09:16
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ondrej Kase in neutral zone
P2 09:16
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 09:05
Ilya Mikheyev credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in neutral zone
P2 08:59
Takeaway by Ondrej Palat in neutral zone
P2 07:58
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P2 07:58
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 07:47
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P2 07:47
GOAL
Goal scored by Michael Bunting assisted by Mitch Marner and Auston Matthews
2-1
P2 07:45
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
P2 07:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 07:25
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Michael Bunting in defensive zone
P2 07:18
Jake Muzzin credited with hit on Alex Killorn in offensive zone
P2 07:08
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 07:08
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jack Campbell
P2 06:24
John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 06:24
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 06:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 05:34
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 05:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jack Campbell
P2 05:30
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P2 05:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jack Campbell
P2 05:02
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P2 05:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jack Campbell
P2 04:53
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Brayden Point
P2 04:16
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P2 03:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Cal Foote
P2 03:21
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Cal Foote
P2 02:51
Takeaway by Ondrej Kase in defensive zone
P2 02:35
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 02:28
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Wayne Simmonds in neutral zone
P2 02:21
Ondrej Kase won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
P2 02:21
GOAL
Goal scored by Corey Perry assisted by Victor Hedman
2-0
P2 01:59
SHOT
Jake Muzzin shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 01:35
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 01:26
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 01:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 01:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 00:43
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
P2 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:57
Power play - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
P1 19:57
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Victor Hedman
1-0
P1 19:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jack Campbell
P1 19:15
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 19:15
Penalty to Alexander Kerfoot 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
P1 19:13
Jake Muzzin credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
P1 19:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:57
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Wayne Simmonds in defensive zone
P1 18:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:43
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P1 18:40
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Wayne Simmonds in defensive zone
P1 18:32
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Mark Giordano in defensive zone
P1 18:21
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Mark Giordano in defensive zone
P1 18:12
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 17:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P1 17:37
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
P1 17:16
Giveaway by Corey Perry in offensive zone
P1 16:59
Power play - Ross Colton credited with hit on Ondrej Kase in offensive zone
P1 16:51
Shorthanded - Ondrej Kase credited with hit on Ross Colton in neutral zone
P1 16:19
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Jake Muzzin in defensive zone
P1 16:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jack Campbell
P1 16:06
SHOT
Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
P1 15:58
Shorthanded - Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 15:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jack Campbell
P1 15:25
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 15:16
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P1 15:16
Penalty to Mark Giordano 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
P1 15:16
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P1 15:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
P1 15:06
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
P1 14:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Colton
P1 14:43
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 14:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 14:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 14:30
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
P1 14:25
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Alex Killorn
P1 14:11
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 13:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Bogosian saved by Jack Campbell
P1 13:40
SHOT
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Colin Blackwell
P1 13:34
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in neutral zone
P1 13:25
SHOT
Jake Muzzin shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
P1 13:19
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
P1 13:19
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:14
Takeaway by Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
P1 13:08
David Kampf credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P1 13:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 12:48
Power play - Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 12:38
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P1 12:30
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P1 12:30
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 12:25
Shorthanded - Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ondrej Kase in defensive zone
P1 12:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 12:25
SHOT
Power play - Ilya Mikheyev shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P1 12:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 11:45
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 11:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:09
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 11:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:00
Power play - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 11:00
Penalty to Patrick Maroon 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Jack Campbell)
P1 10:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jack Campbell
P1 10:53
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P1 10:43
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Mark Giordano in defensive zone
P1 10:26
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P1 09:24
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit in neutral zone
P1 09:17
Brayden Point credited with hit on Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
P1 09:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Jack Campbell
P1 09:02
Wayne Simmonds credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 08:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jack Campbell
P1 08:43
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P1 08:39
Jake Muzzin credited with hit in defensive zone
P1 08:19
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Steven Stamkos
P1 08:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 08:05
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P1 08:05
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P1 07:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 07:50
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P1 07:50
Stoppage - Icing
P1 07:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P1 07:23
SHOT
Power play - Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P1 06:34
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
P1 06:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 05:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P1 05:51
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 05:46
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice
P1 05:46
John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P1 05:37
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
P1 05:32
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
P1 05:08
David Kampf credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P1 04:59
Nicholas Paul credited with hit in defensive zone
P1 04:26
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
P1 04:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P1 04:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
P1 03:32
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
P1 03:17
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 03:17
Stoppage - Icing
P1 02:59
Cal Foote credited with hit on Ilya Mikheyev in defensive zone
P1 02:32
Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P1 02:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jack Campbell
P1 02:15
Colin Blackwell credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in neutral zone
P1 01:42
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
P1 01:30
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Jake Muzzin in offensive zone
P1 01:05
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
P1 00:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
P1 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Maple Leafs
34Shots on Goal34
45%Faceoff Win %55%
7/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins14
39Hits36
17Shots Blocked8
6Giveaways8
LightningTB
Maple LeafsTOR
34Shots on Goal34
45%Faceoff Win %55%
7/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins14
39Hits36
17Shots Blocked8
6Giveaways8

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Wednesday, May 4, 2022
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +115, Maple Leafs -129

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 47%
  • Maple Leafs: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 47%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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